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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    Ray have a therapy session with Dr Phil? my god, losing his shit over model runs left and right.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    glad we logged off for the last 2 of them.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    On the prowl.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Agreed. I'm not saying to toss them, but to treat them with some skepticism until you have a trend develop over multiple cycles.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Just getting caught up. I agree with Tip. The 18z GFS/GEFS were a dramatic continuity shift from their 12z run. I'd wait to see what the 00z GFS/GEFS do before altering any ideas of the storm. The 18z EURO/EPS were less drastic and lend more credence right now but that can change in 6hrs. There is nothing to really hang on this far out other than watching the runs rolls in. Gotta wait another couple days to see how things look. Confidence is still high for a storm from what I see right now. I'd still be leery of a hugger given the southern origins and how we know they play out. Having a track over or S and E of the BM isn't a bad thing for a lot of the subforum.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    9 times out of 10 it does.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    Nope, see above
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, I have no clue about named winter storms. I haven't turned on TWC since the 1990s.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    I am skeptical of the Euro burying the s/w in the SW.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, that's why I posted earlier about the Euro about to go boom. You could just see it unfolding with the sharp trough with the s/w diving in on the backside. That thing went apeshit in no time. The ideal solution for eastern areas.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    DAMN. 994 to 972mb in 6hrs
  12. Baroclinic Zone
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    Geezus, welcome to like 8mo ago.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Euro about to go boom as s/w drops into the trough
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    0.00" in ASEMATT
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Ramping up though.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Good run. Weaker and slightly E.
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    I agree with this logic. Result on western edge of this could leave a lot of people looking at white rain. I'd personally like to see the Ensm mean outside the BM on a S-N trajectory right now.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Beware the southern streamers.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, 0.10". 20.6F Still haven't cracked 10" for the season yet.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    Best way to keep your sanity this week.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Just treat the OP run as one of the ensembles, until within 2-4 days
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Yep. This can still come further west.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Been out of the loop since Thursday, so I guess so,
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