Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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1-3" of QPF is a shit ton of snow. -
I don't think the QPF is being underdone on modeling with this. This will drop 1-3" when all said and done for most. Southern origins with a semi warm-core and huge fetch. This has the makings of a historic storm.
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You mean those on CC? Warranted given their geography.
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LOL, 966mb S of ACK at 84hrs and still cranking along. 12-18"+ for all.
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Deformation well west on the NAM
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So much angst over snow. NAM teeing off right now.
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Steady as she goes from my perspective. Not much else to add that hasn't already been said overnight. 12z runs today should be good to start narrowing goalposts.
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I’ll have to try that. Not much has changed here as far as results for a solid day. Models bury here with 12”+ or substantially more.
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https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis
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Yeah, when you add LI, NJ, NYC and down to DE, that's a substantial area to be impacted. Big runs starting tonight.
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Damn. That's like 16-18" on the mean.
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Thanks for those 18z EPS images. Losing the members that were over SNE now. Now only confined to extreme SE MA.
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Look at how the heights curl back on the Euro vs the GFS. It's subtle but would lead to a more amplified SLP and a little bit closer to coast than the GFS.
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Love me some 18z GFS. But I didn't need to tell you all that.
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Plenty of PFE already "Predecessor Freakout Event"
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Pimpin storm threat https://www.boston.com/weather/local-forecasts/2022/01/25/significant-storm-atlantic-coastline-this-weekend/?p1=hp_featurestack
