I know you don't take my comments personal. We do joke around a lot and share a passion for tracking, you moreso that I, which shows. I'm still waiting another full day to take a big hit seriously.
My gut is telling me the OP Euro is too amplified and the OP GFS is not amplified enough. EPS and GEFS are in between and where my leaning on track is right now.
And keep in mind that this is a mean snowfall graphic. Those are hefty numbers at this timeframe. Can still change but higher confidence threat for sure.