Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Trough finally looks neutral by 03z Saturday. -
NAM is gonna nuke us based upon heights.
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Has a nice streamer of light snows tomorrow as well.
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I wish I were seeing the 24-36" models were spitting out. 12" is my floor for storms that really peak my interest and this one looks pretty locked in for that. Now I'd like to get a little greedy and see if 20" is back in play.
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Why do want to to know about a model run from 2 cycles ago?
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But they weren't huge shifts. Well within the margins at that lead time.
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06z Euro move looked like noise to me. See what 12z brings. Time to start ironing out some of the details on banding and where that will be. I'm ignoring the GFS since it decided to go on vacation. NAM can be useful as long as it falls in line with the Euro, which it seems to be right now, perhaps a bit more amplified. I also agree with Scott that we should watch to see if this comes back west a hair as heights should be raised ahead of this with the storm coming up from the south.
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I'm tired of the whining/bitching. Act like an adult and you've seen snow or missed a snowstorm before.
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Guess you haven't paid attention for here either, 18z runs outside Euro, were run of the mill nuisance.
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00z tonight is when I'd start leaning towards the OP runs of the globals. 60-72hrs from onset, we should see models narrowing the goalposts enough to rely on the ensembles less. Still out of range of the hires models.
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I feel the same way with this setup. Ensm have been the way to go up till now I feel. The 00z runs should shake this out and determine if whatever was ingested into the 18z NCEP is real or not.
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offering fava beans and a nice chianti?
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Can't say I saw whatever he posted. If it annoyed you, I'm sure it was well worth the post.
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Why should/would I? You've annoyed quite a few posters today. Kept quiet but you've clearly lost it, now that it looks like this storm is largely a miss for you.
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You've just been the piss on everyone's cheerios with this threat. Give it a rest already.
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, No guarantee yet at all. Highest probability, sure. But I don't care if it it happens or not.
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You're new here. Everyone already knows where I stand when it comes to snow. I've learned to tune out/ignore the 6hr mood swings and stick to the analysis, which I prefer when it comes to coastals.
