Tough to argue for a snowy solution in SNE right now given the breadth of model solutions. As we know, plenty time to change things though. Here are some thoughts in my head.
I think we need to see a slower progression of s/w across the country so we can establish the cold.
The lead wave for Friday coming in stronger/further N will be an indicator of where the best baroclinity will be for the follow wave. Seeing this lead wave potentially push further north is not what we’d like to see in SNE for a more wintry outcome
My last thoughts are with regards to the MJO and their influence on the PAC flow. It seems like the PV in latest model runs is being displaced a bit further N. It also looks like there has been a shift of the ridge out west offshore which is not a good location for us.