This has the makings of a great storm. There red flags as to timing of phase that need to resolved before confidence level of hit for area are realized.
With that being said, trends over last 24h have been favorable.
GFS is gonna handle this as usual. It just can’t seem to resolve these intense PVa storms in northern stream. It will overplay the southern stream and slowly start to get dope slapped into reality.
Love the exotic op runs, but we will ride the ensembles and mean trends for a couple more days.