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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    Honestly, that's a sweet GFS look, right there.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Closes off in MLs, which will be a big factor in pushing totals to double digits down this way.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    I think he's saying the same thing.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Still, the 00z run was a huge hit. The 12z run looks paltry compared to them.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Wut? It went from a MECS to a run of the mill snowstorm in a 6hr period. These are night and day different.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Looking like a safe call made by BOX this far, looking at the 12z guidance roll out.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    I would tend to agree with this premise, seeing as the Euro, is a pretty solid model and normally great with with coastals. The GFS also agrees with it. Tough to argue against that unholy alliance. Let's see what the rest of 12z guidance shows though before passing judgement.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    These more robust solutions are definitely due in part to the MLs closing off. The 3KM NAM manages to still do that
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    Yep, I'm going 7-14" down in SE MA given the proximity to SLP and some ML deformation. Wait and see on 12z runs.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    3km NAM is a bit more robust a solution then the 12km NAM. Warning criteria snows in SE MA down to the Cape.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    It's coming down to where the best UL forcing is.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    In line with the tenor of the season, but not a solution in line with what 06z guidance was showing. Shows like a 4-8" storm.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    Yep
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    https://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/avnmosmap.php
  15. Baroclinic Zone
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Wtf....
  17. Baroclinic Zone
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    Ukie?
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Geez, GFS FV3 is a nuke. 988mb near BM
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    ML magic
  21. Baroclinic Zone
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    Wow, what a shift
  23. Baroclinic Zone
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    SLP is going to want to be where the best diffluent flow is. Not some rogue voticiy
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Yep, what they said
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