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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Not going to see me bitch/complain about losing a storm. It’s still just snow.
  2. Correct. This is more an issue of whether or not convection robs us of some ML deformation fun. I’m hedging towards the former rather then the latter based up what I’ve seen and my gut. It’s all good fun. BOX is now in a perfect position to play both ways. They had to play catch up over the last couple days when it became apparent there was going to a storm.
  3. Meso models have been all over the place in the last couple days. The globals have been pretty close with a solid storm, save for the Uber solutions from a day ago.
  4. I still think the 00z NAMs are suffering from convective feedback. You can see they are making the slow steady progression toward the global solutions. I see no reason to not believe the Euro/GFS.
  5. Hearing the 18z Euro amped up a bit makes me feel more confident in 8-10”+
  6. I have a feeling the Mesos are having a difficult time with qpf output due to the convection out east. They're still placing too much focus in that area and sort of ignoring where the best dynamics/lift are.
  7. Still looks like BOX is taking the slow uptick in totals. Think we see another bump up later. WSW and 4-7" totals? 6-10".
  8. It loves to over amplify storms in this timeframe.
  9. Yeah, I'm 90% confident of 6"+. I'm looking for nuaces to crack 10'+. Want to see if the MLs close off for some time.
  10. Well that's a sweet look for Monday in SE MA.
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