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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. This has the look of a hellacious 12hr window of dumpage followed by potentially a few hours of sleet before slotted. Then the wraparound moisture on Monday pivots through.
  2. Looks like early 18z guidance has a stronger SLP which could be the reason for the warmer solutions popping up.
  3. Agreed. They did well sniffing out this storm but as we got within 72hrs I think we need to weigh them less heavily.
  4. Ended up pretty close to 06z run, maybe 10-15mi north with thermals
  5. Yep. Start there. 12” is baseline for majority across the 3 southern New England states.
  6. As has been said before, I think we’re also seeing that subtle increase in QPF as we close in.
  7. That was a 18z GFS run. The mini miller b for se areas, dropping 24-36”
  8. Solid 18z runs. I feel we’re gonna see 18-24” totals pretty widespread over eastern areas.
  9. Nice conservative initial call based on probabilities at this lead time
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