Just looked at the 06z GEFS and there is a clear group of the ensemble to the left of the mean. Let's see what 12z brings. We've seen baby steps since 00z on the GFS.
If that southern stream is going to be stubborn to exit stage right, we'll need the northern stream to drop into the backside of all that hot mess sooner.
What was my post before 00z last night? I said I'd wait to see what 00z showed before starting a thread. I'm not writing this off at all. Us SEMA'ers are in a better spot for this.