Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Mahoosuc Mauler
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Can we get some low-topped convection with this in CT.
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To me it was all about when it dove south. Had this done all this 150mi E, we'd all be buried.
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But look at how much higher the heights are downstream.
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It really doesn't help that this thing digs for oil so soon. That allows heights ahead to lift and we get the more northerly solution.
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We lost the confluence to the north. That has been trending for a couple days now.
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My little critter storm ain't looking so bad now.
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Look at how remarkable the Op 12z GFS is with the H just off the west coast of Cali. That thing barely budges thru 16 days.
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AWT
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No where close to 2011/12. 14.80" that season. Over 22" now.
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Step 3
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It's what the snow starved here are hanging onto.
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Define major. GFS/Euro are less then 1" for most.
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How those 850 progs looking now?
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MTD dropped below +7.0F finally.
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That's what it looks like for now. But my skepticism of the pattern actually flipping for us are low.
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Wut? Long range modeling showing pattern changes to a wintrier pattern have fallen flat every time they've shown up. It's the winter of modeling showing a pattern change perpetually in the 10-14 day range.
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How’s the long range worked over the last 6 weeks?
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Aren’t we on or around the date DIT said the pattern change was?
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Given antecedent airmass and tenor of the season over the last 6 weeks, this has felt like a C/NNE threat to me. This is not to say western and higher terrain of SNE can’t score some love but nothing noteworthy to me.
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Summer EF-3
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Would be a nice front end thumper if the antecedent was there.
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For hinterlands is a nice solution.
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Dryslot approved solution.
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It really is. Nice rounded ULL hits that confluence and gets squeezed
