Baroclinic Zone

Correct. I still feel like we're sitting on no-mans land waiting on closer consensus on the pattern change. I'd feel more comfortable if this was Saturday/Sunday and we're seeing it.

It's not a 15 day lead. It's a mean snowfall from now through that timeframe.

Was gonna say, with this being a more Basin wide Nina, models have been struggling with the PAC jet. Agree we need that jet to retract westward thus promoting more ridging into our cold source region.

I'd say Buffalo made out ok with the last pattern. Over 100" on the season.

WinterWolf is the motivational speaker of the subforum. When winter weenies are flaccid just howl and he'll be there to pick you back up.

I had 0.50" thru end of December last year. Ended with 52.9"

18.9F low

0.00"

Not seeing any ice here.

I still had/have leaves on my trees now. A lot finally came down in mid December but I never had a chance to blow them away. Now they’re currently stuck to grass from rain and freeze.

2014/15 says otherwise Virtually snowless up to February

Let's trend that S & E.

Gonna love this upcoming stretch of warmth. If it ain't gonna be a biggie, let it torch.

Local news really pushing ice safety after fall thru ice. https://www.wcvb.com/article/winchester-ice-rescue-winter-pond-massachusetts/42348664

35.5F high

I don't see the next pattern change any different than the last. The only caveat is we are getting near peak temp mins. The biggest caveat is we will have not seen a preceding period of much cold/snow so that may offset low level cold in SWFE's. That SE Ridge looks like a pig and is going to take some time to beat down. I give it till mid month where it becomes more favorable to "majority" for more wintry outcomes. Nina's just seem to wreak havoc on modeling with the PAC. @brooklynwx99has posted great info on this.

Sad to hear the casualties of this storm in Buffalo and the rest of the country. Incredible storm from coast to coast. Glad some were able to enjoy it as a weather enthusiast.

Yeah, I know what you mean. When we went, we found Jackson a great place to start. https://www.jacksonxc.org/

Try X-C skiing

Yup. That's the next legit shot in New England.

Stop being such a meany.

I'd get my ass kicked.

I prefer my annual snow to come in one large dump like last year.

So 2-3wks.