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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    Yup, nothing like the prior 12z Meso's
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Agreed but the ULL does not look as zonked out as the NAM. Not closed off. Looks like the Euro actually at 48h
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    That an the intensity of the southern s/w. Those 2 have tugged this ever so slightly N and W.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    I'd hit the 12z RGEM
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Take the 12z RGEM 500mb and shove that 75-100mi E.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    We would need to keep a consolidate ULL to do this imo.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    3km NAM trying to save SE MA this run.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Outer Cape and Islands would based upon 850s. 700mb is also tickling 0c, at the 700 low tracks west of here, so we'd be looking at crappy snizzle.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    See if it re-developes as it pushes east.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    North of that line is getting +SN. S of it, not so much.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    That's a run for here.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    Back bent WF
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    Best wishes Steve on your recovery. We all love you here and miss your daily contribution.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Southern lead s/w doing the dirty work, Allowing the trailer to drop in behind. Let's get this baby to close off and bowling ball S of us. Would make us all happy.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    My hope is there isn't one, but my gut says there will based upon what I see in the upper/mid-levels. There looks to be a pretty solid front band that pushes inland from the initial storm intensifying S of us. That band will rot inland and another will develop along the southern areas as the low starts pushing eastward. This would be over Eastern areas.
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    My eyes will be looking at the 700mb heights. Need to watch where that subsidence zone is. You can see the differences in the models in where they place the snow bands. NAM I fell is too far N. The GFS is still too far S. The Ukie/RGEM/GGEM/Euro(lesser extent) are sort of in the middle. They bring that subsidence zone over the 495 belt W and N of BOS. Hopefully they are wrong and we see a more widespread precip shield with minimal breaks.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Time to start focusing on the smaller details as the large synoptic features are there. Where is there subsidence/dryslot issues. Where will there be enhanced snow areas, fronto and mid-level banding. Also, time to hand the baton off to the OP runs.
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    https://www.nbcboston.com/weather/
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Subtle shift south on the ICON, but expected since it’s been on the northern side of guidance. Nice hit.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    And still snowing over New England at runs end
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    3km NAM incoming
  22. Baroclinic Zone
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Look at that kink at 500mb at 54hrs
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    That southern s/w doing the dirty work of carving out this deamplyfing trough. Allows the trailing piece to dig further.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    I like it too
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