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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    Indeed it does.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    3-6” here vs a foot or more in Maine?
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    Wrong.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    This storm is a PITA. Modeling has been horrendous, but I guess that’s to be expected with the developing block. I’d still lean on the Euro as it’s still historically been a lock for storms this close in but the meso models like the NAM and RGEM do make you question it.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Maine jack
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Suns out, guns out. 48F. Beautiful day for January 2nd.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    Potent vorticity on the RGEM.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    That’s what I’m saying. I still think your area up into coastal NH could get clipped by CCB. The WCB is a lock IMO for N and W of PVD/BOS line.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    If weenies want the glean a positive out of that is the elongation of the ULL may be able to pinch on S of LI and slow the storm enough to back the flow
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    Nope
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    12z NAM shifted S.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    V16 is a viable solution too.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    AWT
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    Snow looks brief based on CC
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Attaboy bri
  17. Baroclinic Zone
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    Go 34/26
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    RGEM’d
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    See you corrected
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    See I thought the 06z run looked better for SNE, with the ULL closed of S of us.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    Yes, and I haven’t seen anyone talking long duration storm. Correct. But the flow is still progressive. There’s another s/w hot the heels of this one that may screw with any prolonged baroclinc process along the coast. This is not to say we couldn’t see a 12hr quick hitting storm favoring eastern areas, it’s just too soon to know. We may also be dealing with a shitty airmass in southern areas without a dynamic solution to draw in the colder air.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s looking like a potent little ULL, so any slight wobbling around will change sensible outcome. It’s getting sheared out but attempts to redevelop more or less overhead. That developing block is looking to suppress it but it’s so far north by the time it does. If the block were in place more, we’d be primed for a huge hit.
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Who is talking long duration?
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Track of ULL and redevelopment along the coast are my 2 main reasons. Subject to change though.
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