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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. I was about to post that there looks like a nice banding signal up in C/NNE with the NAM.
  2. This is the culprit that’s screwing with this being a good event.
  3. 2-1/2 wks since last accumulating snow.
  4. I think it’s just bad timing. That lead s/w pulls the entire system offshore and the ULL is attempting to re-organzine it along the south coast but does it too late. WCB snows look great then go poof as storm attempts to redevelop.
  5. Amazing how time flies. 46 here. We off to bed. Nice discussion tonite.
  6. Yeah, we’re talking literally a few hours difference in mid level features having a discernible difference over eastern areas.
  7. ICON did back in the main CCB from 18z run, but not to the level the Euro has it. Non “event” for SNE
  8. My gut is leaning against Euro over eastern areas. Think it’s overplaying it’s hand, interior SNE looks good for advisory snows.
  9. We’re not talking major differences in the ULL layout by much either. That lead vorticity needs to curl up closer to the coast IMO
  10. It’s as if there is a huge subsidence zone created from this broad ULL and that lead vorticity then the ULL tightens up and tries to draw/snap back in the baroclinic zone. Not a huge confidence forecast for sure. I’d be leery of any ensemble mean right now that will smooth over this.
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