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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. It's a precarious setup as currently modeled across guidance. Suppression definitely in play.
  2. I know exactly what your saying. I also know what the current NAO state is and upper air floow over the northeast. I'm not talking about the system coming up the coast slamming New England with a snowstorm. You remove that shit stain streak and the storm would come "closer"
  3. The storm would likely clip us if not for that piece of shit. That's thing just adds insult to the NAO domain.
  4. There's our s/w diving out of Quebec like a heat seeking missile to ruin any chance of a storm this weekend.
  5. Definitely look better then the OP v16
  6. GFS v16 comes close next week but just misses the phase.
  7. Once the northern stream become active, we see models tend to show suppressed solution,s underestimating the southern stream energy. As storm threats materialize and come more into focus, we typically see bumps N in modeling. This weekends storm is DOA. with the lobe screwing the pooch. Next week is still viable from my perspective.
  8. Euro has the pot cooking next week. See what it brews up.
  9. 12z GEFS are "dry" for next 7 days
  10. Right, the pattern looks good, but the results were underwhelming. Did you not understand what I wrote?
  11. Underwhelming OP runs overnnight verbatim. Pattern looks primed though to deliver if timed right.
  12. "relative" It's mid January and I'd expect to see those 850's covering most of Canada.
  13. Yeah. Pattern still looks like shit mid-month if you take the op Euro fwiw. "Cold" no where to be found in relative terms on this side of the globe. It's over the Arctic or Eastern Canada.
  14. Mid -month deal gets sheared out on op Euro.
  15. Follow out system looks dicey too. Need to keep the confluence over the Northeast or we risk cutter.
  16. Nope. Looks great. Your going to be freezing your ballz off under that for a few days.
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