Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Once the northern stream become active, we see models tend to show suppressed solution,s underestimating the southern stream energy. As storm threats materialize and come more into focus, we typically see bumps N in modeling. This weekends storm is DOA. with the lobe screwing the pooch. Next week is still viable from my perspective.
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Rains to Maine?
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She's a beast
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Euro has the pot cooking next week. See what it brews up.
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12z GEFS are "dry" for next 7 days
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Pick your poison
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Right, the pattern looks good, but the results were underwhelming. Did you not understand what I wrote?
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Underwhelming OP runs overnnight verbatim. Pattern looks primed though to deliver if timed right.
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Damaging...
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GEFS look of by mid-month.
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"relative" It's mid January and I'd expect to see those 850's covering most of Canada.
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Yeah. Pattern still looks like shit mid-month if you take the op Euro fwiw. "Cold" no where to be found in relative terms on this side of the globe. It's over the Arctic or Eastern Canada.
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Mid -month deal gets sheared out on op Euro.
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promise does not equate to dicey
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Follow out system looks dicey too. Need to keep the confluence over the Northeast or we risk cutter.
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Nope. Looks great. Your going to be freezing your ballz off under that for a few days.
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Maybe over Labrador they will.
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12z Euro is light years different with that s/w. Likely won't equate to much.
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Air is marginal until the MLs get going but we'll track.
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With all being said this AM, the 12z Ukie is far less amplified and further East with that s/w coming out of Quebec. Storm can come a bit closer to the south coast
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18 as of today, and we're good for another 7 or so.
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Went from Jan 18th to Mar 6th last year.
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I'm joking. People have been whining for 3 weeks now since out last real snowstorm. The pattern has been horrible and looks to continue for another 10-14 days. Upcoming weekend storm looks like a whiff unless we see drastic upper level changes. Follow up storm is also a delicate balance but holds more promise.
