Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Are HRRR/RAP run on their own model physics or do they use either the NAM/GFS as part of it?
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Pulling for ya. Less than 10" here thus far.
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@Damage In Tolland pray the 12z NAM is correct.
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I had 2005 as well. Had over 100" that winter.
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True story.
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Gonna need some uber ratios to achieve the widespread 4-6"
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Tolland I'm expecting 1-2" here. I'm going up upstream radar and short-term models. It just doesn't look to be coming together as robust as yesterday was showing.
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What does this even mean?
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I-84 N
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Can clearly see the banding N and S when looking at Albany and Upton radar,
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Best is still Pike N imo. Feel that's where the banding will be and S of that there will be a subsidence zone.
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11z HRRR is pretty paltry.
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Worry? Never enters my mind.
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Call me skeptical on this one. I'm gonna on lower end of totals here. 1-2"
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14/12 right now
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May be in a bit of a screwgie zone here.
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NAM cooled off as well. Has been the warmest model thus far.
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Not cool man.
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Some gotta work.
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GFS gone wild
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Reggie not backing away from colder solution.
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Quibbling over 10-15mi is silly.
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You're not telling me anything I don't already know/see. By "OTS", we mean what we saw on modeling a mere 24hrs ago where models were spitting out 6"+.
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This just feels like a system that's going to follow the natural baroclinic zone along the coastline. It's not a strong storm and forcing is relatively weak. This would bring the mixing right along the coastline, cape/islands and slightly inland. This brings the best banding right along the Pike region north and south.
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Isn't VD Feb 14th? Thurs 11th Fri 12th Lt snow Coastal Snowstorm VD?
