Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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That's actually a damn great model run for the weens.
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12z RGEM has a nice band set up from the parent low down to the south coast. Again right along the line of best forcing.
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I still have caution flags flying in my head over widespread snows. I still feel that western areas will do better due to the initial forcing being better out there. It's getting shredded as it pushes east but we could be saved if we can back the flow some due to a little redevelopment S of us for eastern areas.
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Models are all pretty damn close at this point. We are talking about a 20-30mi difference where best banding sets up at this point.
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Nice! Bone dry on NAM.
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Surface temps don't look to be the issue. It's how congealed the system is or is not. Light rates over 24hrs won't accumulate much imo. You'll want to be under heavier bands to see anything appreciable out of this.
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That northern stripe makes sense as that's where the upper levels and best forcing are tracking.
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This is how I envision Ginx every time there is a snow fall.
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Disjointed mess.
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This still looks like a POS.
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Nice to see one break right for the ASATT crew. Pulling for ya.
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Said that many days ago, we’d want that shortwave to be a nuke to cut into the block some.
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They’ve made inroads over the last 5 years.
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Why I forked over a bit more.
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And science has said we’ve lacked a solid baroclinic zone over the US for the majority of the month. Hence the + departures over most of the US and torched over the upper plains where the majority of our cold comes from. If this changes and we see closer to normal temps over the upper plains, this should help shove that zone further south and East.
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1st it was Jan 78 coming, now it’ll be Feb 1978 incoming with the huge block.
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Discussion of potential is one thing, saying they are coming is another. But you can parse the differences, right?
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I’m not negative at all. The AOATT becomes old. Healthy doses of reality are needed. You’ll eventually be right though as the blind squirrel gets the nut sometimes.
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Still have more snow then 2011/12. Think I had less than 12” that entire season.
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That’s like 5x what I’ve seen this month.
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You’ve been saying this for 2 weeks.
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Already posted my station link earlier today. Just need to site it so all features are functional.
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Yeah, but I speak for the SNE brethren who crave snow like a kid in a candy store.
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Mid month we were told.
