Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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Yep. We deep heavies here.
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Break out an old school song we would use for the big dogs.
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Yeah, I was surprised to see snow already on the ground when I got to the office. 30/26 at home.
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Nice to see the meso models hold overnight. I see the GFS is still on the sauce though at 06z. That's tossed into Cape Cod Bay. -
Expands over SNE
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And round 2 over eastern areas
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Keeps the flow more easterly mitigating the warming.
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We take. Like 99% frozen. Thump to snizzly dryslot.
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Banging the NAM right now.
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19/15 and clear
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Looks it
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Going 0-12” forecast here.
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NAM is the ideal scenario in SE MA. Thump to brief changeover than dryslot. Starts late AM and goes for about 12-16hrs.
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AM gang. 12z NAM warmed slightly but damage is still done before changeover.
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It’s how each vendor decides to interpret the the model output. It’s why it’s preached ad nauseam to not use them verbatim but to use them as just another tool to vet out what a model is showing.
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I’m still convinced this front end thump is for real and it’ll be mostly snow for a lot of the forum. Models seem to be struggling a bit on the low level temps a bit and determining where that changeover occurs. The levels above there look plenty cold. 1-2C in the 925mb level are making all the difference in models right now.
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You’re a youngin’
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Epic 1st post.
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The soon to be retired GFS does not look anything like the v16 or NAM
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I’m finding the v16 a much more believable scenario with minimal warming prior to the initial thump. Even the Euro was a pretty good thump over SE areas before the taint moved in.
