Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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South Coast Special.
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GGEM in line with the 12z models. GFS sticks out like a red-headed step-child.
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The trough the v16 digs is unreal.
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Crushes
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12z GFSv16 much better upper air look.
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Yep. But there's going to be a storm, we know that.
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Let's party .
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Blind squirrel getting the nut?
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GSFv16 more in line with the rest of the 12z suite that's rolled out.
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GFS still stubbornly the northern outlier.
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Models spitting out 1/2"+ QPF in E MA now. Surprise event when BOX was saying less then an 1" yesterday.
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There's been some hint on modeling of an area right along the coast around EWB having a localized max. Seen it on the NAM/RGEMEuro/GFSv16
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Why wouldn't you use a short term model for an event that is mere hours away?
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Yup. We're finally looking to establish a solid barcoclinic zone which should aid in more cohesive storm development. Risk for cutters is still there though.
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I feel it's more a result of light precip rates and surface temps being on the "marginal" side, so the model spits out non-snow.
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Apparently Kev has now gone blind and can't see what models show.
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???
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My lean favors WTFNs. Could be a cutter, could be a miss, could be a hit.
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Wrong. Huge storms are all I care for.
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Not every day you see 36”+ spit out of the GFS over SE MA.
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Can always adjust up.
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6z Monday and ends like 00z wed.
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Days and days
