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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    We take. Like 99% frozen. Thump to snizzly dryslot.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Banging the NAM right now.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    19/15 and clear
  4. Baroclinic Zone
  5. Baroclinic Zone
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Looks it
  7. Baroclinic Zone
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Going 0-12” forecast here.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    NAM is the ideal scenario in SE MA. Thump to brief changeover than dryslot. Starts late AM and goes for about 12-16hrs.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    AM gang. 12z NAM warmed slightly but damage is still done before changeover.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s how each vendor decides to interpret the the model output. It’s why it’s preached ad nauseam to not use them verbatim but to use them as just another tool to vet out what a model is showing.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    I’m still convinced this front end thump is for real and it’ll be mostly snow for a lot of the forum. Models seem to be struggling a bit on the low level temps a bit and determining where that changeover occurs. The levels above there look plenty cold. 1-2C in the 925mb level are making all the difference in models right now.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    You’re a youngin’
  15. Baroclinic Zone
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Epic 1st post.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    The soon to be retired GFS does not look anything like the v16 or NAM
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    I’m finding the v16 a much more believable scenario with minimal warming prior to the initial thump. Even the Euro was a pretty good thump over SE areas before the taint moved in.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Sup gang? GFS is still a POS model for coastal storms. Loves to warm the lower levels too fast. Tossed hard into Boston Harbor.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s brutal with thermals. I’m finding v16 much more realistic compared to the Euro.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    GFSv16 looking good.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    This has looked more like a WCB thump for a day now.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    I’m wishing for 36”. I expect nothing. Reality will be somewhere in between.
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    All about that backside energy. If it trends stronger, we’ll see some tuckier solutions that may drive warmer air into eastern areas and push the ml goodies further inland.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    And where are we seeing 2” show up on modeling right now. I’m seeing 1 to 1.5” across most and it’s limited to eastern areas.
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