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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Call me skeptical on this one. I'm gonna on lower end of totals here. 1-2"
  2. May be in a bit of a screwgie zone here.
  3. NAM cooled off as well. Has been the warmest model thus far.
  4. Reggie not backing away from colder solution.
  5. You're not telling me anything I don't already know/see. By "OTS", we mean what we saw on modeling a mere 24hrs ago where models were spitting out 6"+.
  6. This just feels like a system that's going to follow the natural baroclinic zone along the coastline. It's not a strong storm and forcing is relatively weak. This would bring the mixing right along the coastline, cape/islands and slightly inland. This brings the best banding right along the Pike region north and south.
  7. Isn't VD Feb 14th? Thurs 11th Fri 12th Lt snow Coastal Snowstorm VD?
  8. Trend is not your friend if you want something later this week. Like you say, we need to see a reversal in the next couple model runs.
  9. Coming in on 18z Friday and still no precip into the area.
  10. Inland looks good. I would stray too far from 10:1 in this area.
  11. Not really a huge difference when you take all the 12z models in. 20-30mi
  12. Euro looking good. Little warmer than 00z run at 925mb. Mix along the coast. Look best along the Pike region
  13. Ukie in the GGEM/RGEM camp with closed off 925mb mitigating warm air intrusion along south coast. South of Pike deal.
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