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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. I'm at the point where I need to see larger events(6-8"+) or I'll pass.
  2. Upper air pattern does not look conducive to amplification. 150-180kt winds at 200mb/300mb.
  3. Always gotta beware storms that originate from the South. They always seem to come in warmer as we get closer.
  4. Not 100% the same but there are similarities. If primary remains strong and further West, we flood the area with warmth. You want to see earlier transfer to secondary or a weaker primary to stave that off.
  5. Bad sign when it's the coldest model.
  6. Pray the Ukie is right for the ACATT crew.
  7. I'm not seeing any modeling showing 50s inland. I see 40s though and that may verify.
  8. The ACATT crew can hang their hats on the v16.
  9. I'll throw in the warm biased GFS. It's warm too,
  10. Wasn't as ideal as the 00z run with the sharper trough. Still plenty of time to go either way on this.
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