Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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It's not too far off from the NAM on 925mb temps.
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RGEM closes off at 925mb, thus mitigating the warm intrusion.
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I honestly enjoy tracking storms than I do results of them.
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But the model shows it so we discuss it.
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Ray, you didn't screw up. I'd give it a B grade forecast. I felt the band was going to set up further S & E over SE MA. Certainly not from Hartford up over to Westwood. I ended up in a "relative" min compared to Norfolk County and out on Cape. Still my 2nd biggest event of the season after Dec.
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If the NAM is to believed the s/w came in a bit stronger and further north. Low level air flow out ahead is able to come from a more southerly trajectory, which warms the surface temps and lowest levels above 0C.
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Looks like a good presentation to go through. https://www.weather.gov/media/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/winter_stuff/Winter_Stuff/Forecasting_P_Type.pdf
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There is a bit of a warm tongue at 925mb there. Would suck to have a pretty good clipper for many ruined by a few degrees .
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Low level temps will definitely determine how wet a snow looks/feels. It's wont dictate ratios though. Temps aloft and how deep the SGZ are will dictate ratios. Too warm or too cold and you'll have lower ratios. -15C is the ideal temp at to maximize dendrites.
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Yeah, that was a bit unexpected.
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This won't be paste. Antecedent is even colder than yesterdays storm. This could be a fluffer. Just need some help in the lift department to get this ramped up some beyond 1-3" type deal. Euro was good. NAM coming in pretty good too.
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Feb 2015 MEH. Still have another 36" to get to where we were OTG. I have about 4" now.
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I have a feeling this tickles South more.
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Gonna need to pop a ridge out west some to get this to turn the corner. Trend has been to flatten this out over time.
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Stickier snow at home vs work. Could see a clear change once you got into Wrentham. Nothing stuck to trees at all where everything is caked at home.
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Let’s do it all again next year
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Always the worst watching the clock wind down to end these games. Feels like it takes forever.
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Forcing seems minimal to really go gangbusters on more that a clipper type storm.
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KC gonna need a miracle to score this many points
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Fan on the field
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See what the next 24hrs of models do, possible but would not be tossing those numbers out there. 1-2 along south coast and 2-4 up to pike and less up to NH border right now.
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Ground and pound to take this home
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Yep. kevs gonna go 5-10”
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And they worked pretty damn good here. 1/2” and 6” of snow.
