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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    GFS gone wild
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Reggie not backing away from colder solution.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    Quibbling over 10-15mi is silly.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    You're not telling me anything I don't already know/see. By "OTS", we mean what we saw on modeling a mere 24hrs ago where models were spitting out 6"+.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    This just feels like a system that's going to follow the natural baroclinic zone along the coastline. It's not a strong storm and forcing is relatively weak. This would bring the mixing right along the coastline, cape/islands and slightly inland. This brings the best banding right along the Pike region north and south.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Isn't VD Feb 14th? Thurs 11th Fri 12th Lt snow Coastal Snowstorm VD?
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    0 to coating is riveting
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Trend is not your friend if you want something later this week. Like you say, we need to see a reversal in the next couple model runs.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    We salute you
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    We're on to Sunday. Euro has weak coastal.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    Coming in on 18z Friday and still no precip into the area.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    OTS
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Inland looks good. I would stray too far from 10:1 in this area.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Not really a huge difference when you take all the 12z models in. 20-30mi
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Euro looking good. Little warmer than 00z run at 925mb. Mix along the coast. Look best along the Pike region
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    Ukie in the GGEM/RGEM camp with closed off 925mb mitigating warm air intrusion along south coast. South of Pike deal.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, initially the thread was for Thursday, which has gone poof and maybe we get weekend threat but that still remains to be seen.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah, we ended up pretty damn close to 10:1 here. Spot on to the 1/2" QPF Euro number we were seeing.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    ICON has it as well fwiw
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    NAM definitely the warmest model. GGEM would be the coldest.
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Real nice look on the GGEM.
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Lead wave on Thur/Fri on GFS is OTS but there is a follow-up wave that if we can get enough wave spacing and heights are able to respond, it may come up the coast some. Still battling the confluence to the north though so there is only so much it can come north.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Agreed, Anywhere off the Cape/Islands looks pretty safe for advisory there.
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