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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    1991 (Bob) was the last land-falling Hurricane in New England.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Because they suck at TC modeling.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    Define "Ages". When New England hasn't seen a land-falling Hurricane in many posters here lifetime, I'd say it's noteworthy.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Kev getting the eye.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Pretty potent right front quadrant on the NAM. 925mb winds 50-60kts.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Yuge impact coming for the Jersey Shore. Post pics.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    NAM definitely shifted it's track E.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Tip of LI in in for a wallop.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    More robust storm on NAM vs 06z. Must be due to less interaction wit through, keeping structure intact longer.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    Less interaction with the trough over Mid Atl, NAM E with storm vs prior runs.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    And some oldies too. Don, Quiccy popping in. Need some JoeD, MEkster, et.al to pop in.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    Don in the m'effin house!
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    Hard to believe we're 30 years since last landfalling Hurricane in New England.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Could be that far as well. I just don's see a NYC/ W LI landfall right now, but I could always be wrong with my assessment.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    Correct. But I think the stronger the storm gets over the next 24hr, the less impacted it will be by the trough, leading to a further E track than say what the NAM/Ukie show. I'm leaning towards what the GFS/Euro show for track looking at the upper air pattern. It's really the ideal pattern to a TC to hit us with the blocking in place as well. I think we see 12z guidance on the W edge shift E today. My goalposts are Canal over to New London, CT for landafll.
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Good AM AMWx. I think a track right up Naggy Bay is gaining traction just looking at guidance this AM. I feel the runs curling into W LI are too aggressive. Only way I see those occurring is if Henri remains weak and can be impacted more by that trough. If it becomes a stronger storm, the trough won't have as great an impact.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Getting caught up. That 18z GFS was nasty for the SE MA area. We’d have flooding and definite damage with the wet grounds.
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    24” here since May 1st.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    That would
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Just sent the entire package of TP with this shit.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    I got 1/4"
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    He be
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Holy hell the flooding would be epic if this verified.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    And people expect a track 4 days out to be locked in.
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