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Jebman

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Everything posted by Jebman

  1. Now you all have REALLY done it! I'm Ravenous!
  2. Where in the heck is The Reaper! The Reaper never ever retires! Reaper, get The Panic Room topic started, OR ELSE! Don't make me have to show you how to REAP!
  3. Patience will be rewarded in the Mid Atlantic. The Vodka Cold and deep snows will arrive!
  4. I fervently hope you get much better soon!
  5. Wow I remember that winter! Ice jebwalks are the very best! It was ice after ice after ice! I was savoring leisurely ice jebwalk after leisurely ice jebwalk, dancing on the ice like Michael Jackson while everyone else was falling HARD busting their hips on the solid glacier!
  6. The futility chase is officially canceled. Because the Washington Metropolitan Region is gonna have a surprise very snowy very cold winter in 2021-2022!
  7. Mid Atlantic Region WILL Cash In Soon! There's going to be a TON of snow in the Washington Metropolitan Region this winter!
  8. Its gonna pay off in spades, that is, spadefuls of fluffy snow lol!
  9. Wow it is COLD up there in Dale City, Virginia! Only 34 with a dewpoint of 19 degrees! You guys need to take a long leisurely jebwalk!
  10. WxWatcher007 where are you? Its Dec 6th already! You are The Reaper! I better see a Panic Room topic, or ELSE! Don't make me have to school you on how to Reap lmao!
  11. Really really glad you are okay! This place would never ever be the same without you!
  12. Just enjoyed a wonderful December jebwalk down here in incredible 71 degree, 71 dewpoint conditions! Its not often you get to enjoy 71 dewpoints in early December, even down here in south central Texas. Still enjoying succulent flavorful damn near sweet tomatoes right off the vine! Its been a lot warmer than is normal for us!
  13. You can meme me and meme me and meme me, but I still maintain that Mid Atlantic'ers will be pleasantly surprised by snow and cold this winter. In spades. Speakin of which, Get your Jebman shovels now!
  14. Its still gon' snow in the Mid Atlantic this winter.
  15. WOW it is 25/22 in Woodbridge, Virginia right now! That's outright JANUARY weather! In late November! The winter will remember November, and it will be ridiculously frigid! Snow will hang around the Washington DC Region for months on end! Don't take my word for it. Just stock up! Get a snowmobile. Better yet, get TWO snowmobiles! Get a pair of top shelf snowblowers, and plenty of Jebman Shovels! Get Ice Melter! You're gonna need it! Get those boots climbers wear on Mount Everest! There's gonna be that much ice, and even MORE snow! You guys are going to get annihilated, pummeled like Clubberlang by Rocky in Rocky III, destroyed, shellacked, buried fookin alive by immense amounts of frigid, Vodka Cold, wind-driven snow this winter all over the Mid Atlantic Region! WxRisk is gonna be WOOFIN' and WOOFIN' and Bob is gonna be posting a thousand HUGE Faces right in the model discussion threads! This is going to be a snow winter well remembered by many, for years and years and years!
  16. Fun times incoming, especially north woods 000 FXUS61 KCAR 260547 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1247 AM EST Fri Nov 26 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Low pressure approaches from the west tonight and Friday. The intensifying low then lifts north across the Maritimes Friday night through Sunday. Another low crosses the Gulf of Maine and exits across the Maritimes Monday. Low pressure will approach from the west later Tuesday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... 1245 am update... Quick update to temps and dwpts. No other chgs needed. Prev Fcst: Clear skies and high pressure over the area will give way to increasing clouds overnight. In the very dry air mass, temperatures will drop off initially this evening before the clouds increase and temps will remain somewhat steady overnight. Upper level heights fall all night and temperatures aloft cool through the night into Friday. Precipitation will reach the North Woods by late night and will be in the form of snow and freezing rain. The trend for Friday will be continued cooling aloft. Therefore, freezing rain is not a big threat and have just a trace to a couple hundredths of an inch in the forecast on Friday morning. The big question is how fast the column cools such that rain changes to snow through both wet bulbing and dynamic cooling. There`s no warm advection working against it this time. The initial air mass below H850 is very dry. It shouldn`t take too long to cool the column below H850 towards 0C once moderate precip starts, with a somewhat isothermal profile below H850 resulting by Friday afternoon. Thus the usual critical thickness values could be misleading as the day unfolds and the snow will be heavy and wet. Snow ratios will increase through the afternoon towards 10 to one by evening. Have leaned towards the colder NAM sfc temps on Friday with highs not too far above freezing except on the coast. The rain/snow line will rapidly progress southward towards Bangor and Downeast in the mid to late afternoon and evening. Although we have amounts up to 4 inches during Friday in the North Woods and around 2 inches for most areas north of Bangor, Hancock County and Washington County, still have some concerns that we may need to make increases on Friday afternoon. The synoptics are impressive and quite dynamic. A potent digging upper trough in the eastern Great Lakes region quickly goes negative tilt and then closes off on Friday. In response, surface cyclogenesis occurs in the western Gulf of Maine and the low rapidly deepens in the afternoon as it tracks along the coast towards Eastport. A broad H700 low moves over the forecast area in the afternoon accompanied by increasing thermal gradients in the mid levels, divergence above H500/H300 and the exit region of an upper jet. Therefore, while we`ve increased QPF on this forecast cycle for Friday afternoon, it may need another bump up tonight. All guidance shows a clear pattern of a broad area of heavier precip developing in the afternoon. This will occur in conjunction with the enhanced lift on the cyclonic side of the trough. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Have transitioned the Winter Storm Watch to a Winter Storm Warning across northern portions of Aroostook, Somerset and Piscataquis counties through Friday into Saturday evening. Based on the duration of the event and expected snow totals, have issued the Winter Storm Warning partially due to holiday travel and this being the first major snow of the season for most areas. Have also issued a Winter Storm Watch for central Piscataquis, southeast Aroostook, northern Washington and northern/central Penobscot counties from Friday afternoon into Saturday evening. An intensifying surface low located along the Maine coast early Friday night, will lift north across New Brunswick overnight along with a closed upper low. However, whether the track is closer to the Maine/New Brunswick border, or more across central New Brunswick, is still uncertain. Warmer air being drawn westward from the Maritimes could support a snow/rain mix across northeast areas early Friday night. Elsewhere across the forecast area, based on critical thicknesses, expect snow across northwest areas early Friday night with rain/snow Downeast. Cold air advection with the deepening low will allow a transition to snow across all of the forecast area early Friday night. Models indicate an area of focused lift and Q-vector convergence lifting north across the forecast area Friday night with a developing deformation zone which will help support precipitation. Recent model runs have indicated a stronger deformation zone across eastern portions of the forecast area with heavier snow possible which is the reason for the new more southern Winter Storm Watch. Uncertainties with precipitation totals Friday night still persist based on uncertainties with the track of the surface low and location of the deformation zone. The vertically stacked system tracks north to the Gaspe Peninsula Saturday. The most persistent snows Saturday will occur across northern and central areas with the deformation zone lifting north. Across Downeast areas, early snow will taper to snow showers during the afternoon. Additional snow accumulations are expected Saturday, with the greater amounts across the north and mountains. The system lifts toward Labrador Saturday night with snow tapering to snow showers across northern and central areas. Across Downeast areas, expect mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers early Saturday night, then decreasing clouds overnight. Storm total snow accumulations through Saturday night are expected to range from 7 to 10 inches across northern areas, with 4 to 7 inches across central areas and 3 to 5 inches Downeast. The system lifts north across Labrador Sunday, while high pressure builds toward the region. Expect mostly cloudy/partly sunny skies across the north and mountains Sunday along with a slight chance of early snow showers, with partly/mostly sunny skies Downeast. Temperatures will be at below normal levels Saturday/Sunday. You guys are going to get clobbered severely this winter. I mean CLOBBERED. Like in 2014-2015. --------------------------------
  17. With the kinds of frigid temps you all have, you just may be in the offing for some early winter weather.
  18. Just wanted to note......... Today Dale City Virginia's avg high/low is about 58/40. THAT, is our south central Texas averages for about Jan 10, lol Suffice it to say, I have new hobbies down here lol. But, that wont stop me from pullin' for cripplin' blizzards on the entire Mid Atlantic Region this winter! Besides, I got to enjoy a massive biblical winter down here last mid Feb!
  19. Jebman

    Winter 2021-22

    This winter, the Allegheny Front WILL get 60 inches of snow.
  20. Been a VERY VERY rainy year down here in south central Texas. We got 1.5 more inches last night, bringing our ridiculous rain totals to 56.70 inches for the year. Normal is barely 30 inches. My tomato plant is 11 feet tall. I am harvesting tomatoes nearly every day, and it is nearly November.
  21. I suppose Dale City could theoretically see 36 inches of snow in a Jan 22 2016 type setup. That storm was all snow and it simply piled up.
  22. Jebman

    Winter 2021-22

    He's correct. Mid Atlantic is going to get destroyed this winter by snow and fierce cold. You better get your shovels NOW! Everyone is gonna be buyin them!
  23. Jebman

    Winter 2021-22

    You're in MD? You'll double your snow climo in 2021-2022!
  24. Jebman

    Winter 2021-22

    If you set and grip the dice correctly - Mid Atlantic will get shellacked right into an Ice Age.
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