Dark Star

This morning it was 32 degrees at 9AM, not exactly cold for this time of year.

What little I do know, our region has warmed faster than other areas, due to the slowing down of the Gulf Stream/Labrador currents circulation. That, combined with the menace of a Pacific Jet, has not left us a favorable snow situation. I understand that warmer air can feed more moisture into a winter storm, and thus producing more snow, but as you have mentioned, there is a tipping point. But I always fall back to a basic concept, the snow triangle (for the NYC metro area). Without a true cold air source, you can't have snow. I'm a pessimist, so my perspective is obscured. Patterns can change, and we might actually get true arctic air spilling down across the pole into eastern Canada. Or some "new" type of pattern could develop, but I tend to buy into the general warming trend unless some time of correction occurs (such as the theory of a rapid melting of the ice caps could cool down the oceans, thus causing a sudden swing back to a colder climate).

The Northern Pacific stream has been a thorn in the greater NYC metro area's winters. It's affect this winter has been minimal. But until we see a nice spillover of cold air straight down across the pole into eastern Canada, winters will be warmer, less snow (in general).

Dunno about epic pattern failure. It's just one of those east to west precip shields with a cold dome to the north. It would be pert near impossible for the snow to move north. It was fun to track it from far out, but now that the models are getting a better grasp, it doesn't look like for us. The best we could hope for is a light covering?

That's a good point. I didn't realize how narrow the band of precipitation is supposed to be. It would require NYC to be in the bullseye or any type of accumulation in this region?

There are some "white things" blowing around here in Linden, NJ, but I can't tell if it is snow or just weed dander from the nearby wetlands?

I think this site is considered social media?

That's fairly common?

I find it amazing that the 540 line is almost always smack dab over NYC...

Thanks, I think the December 26, 2024 anomaly map just about says it all...

Wow, from a forecasted mid 50s to an actual 65 degrees!

and dogs' feet. We have become salt crazy. I understand, litigious society.

-0.0001" ice accretion, so far...

The Pacific Jet is real and probably is the most significant determinant of the weather in our area.

Freezing rain at 32 degrees F is difficult, depending upon the time of day. Coming right out of an overnight period which is below 32, has a chance of freezing on contact. However, sustained moderate rain usually warms the surface fairly quickly at temps at or above 32. A light drizzle would have a better chance of freezing on contact at or around 32 degrees? At least this is from my observational experience.

Exactly 1 inch in Garwood Nj (central Union County). Nice touch, thank you Lord.

AND cell phones...

11 degrees in Garwood (central Union County NJ). I was hoping for single digits...

Isn't that how OJ was acquitted?

Actually, I walked my dog with just a thin glove, with the fingertips cut out so I can pick up the dog crap easier...

Looks like I stand corrected, once again...

Earth's orbit is more elliptical, meaning we are in a somewhat "flattened" part of the orbit. So we should have the same amount of sun for a day or two?

or at least we did see some snow...