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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Dark Star
    So no more precipitation to the west, at least on radar. Is the precip supposed to back build? That would probably negate western Jersey and eastern PA from any additional accumulations?
  2. Dark Star
    A few short lived flurries here in Garwood, NJ (central Union County).
  3. Dark Star
    I do remember receiving some large snow storms preceded by abnormally warm day(s). Don't asks for any dates or years, my mind is shot.
  4. Dark Star
    Moderate snow just turned to a light drizzle in Central Union County NJ at 10:15 AM.
  5. Dark Star
    Thanks for spelling out the abbreviations!
  6. Dark Star
    While storms don't drop rain or snow uniformly, I am always suspicious of outliers. All towns near Newark reported 7" or less.
  7. Dark Star
    6.0" final total pretty consistent around my house in central Union County NJ. Hit my low mark of my 6"-8" prediction. That was mainly based on the secondary "forming" too far north.
  8. Dark Star
    Heard pinging a few minutes ago in central union county nj, then dry slotted. Maybe around 3"? My forecast was 6-8" based on sleet mixing in and the low reforming much farther north than progged. Unless the back end packs a wallop (they usually don't) then I only wind up with 4-5".
  9. Dark Star
    Only 2.5" here in Garwood (central Union County, NJ)
  10. Dark Star
    Not too bullish, haven't seen significant pressure falls along Hatteras yet. I would say 6-8" in central Union County NJ, unless the coastal low gets going FAST.
  11. Dark Star
    Anybody tracking pressure drops along the Carolina coast? I would think this is key, because if the secondary forms too late, it will be by us before it really starts to crank...
  12. Dark Star
    I vaguely remember that one, at two years old...
  13. Dark Star
    I always say that the forecast should be determined no later than within 24 hours of the onset of precipitation. Otherwise, it really isn't a forecast. As Jeff Beradelli has taught me, the devil is in the details. In other words, the pieces of the puzzle are there in the forecasting tools, it's up to the forecaster to know which ones to use and which ones to discard.
  14. Dark Star
    I pulled mine out, but didn't use it. Story of my life...
  15. Dark Star
    Unfortunately the NWS eliminated the clear the board every 6 hours. If it stops accumulating and then melts, does that mean we measured nothing? I understand with a continuous heavy snowfall, not clearing the board measures the actual snow depth, compression and all. I'm okay with that. Otherwise you can "measure" 35" of what actually fell, and only have 26" on the ground (for example).
  16. Dark Star
    Melted snowflake thought to be detected in Linden around 12:45 PM. A little mixed precip looking to occur at 2PM.
  17. Dark Star
    Thought I heard some sleet mix in around 8:15 AM as a heavier line went through Linden NJ?
  18. Dark Star
    Flurries here in Linden NJ at 8:30 AM. Thought I saw a flake in Garwood at 6 :15 AM, but figured it was just wishful thinking.
  19. Dark Star
    When we are at January 15th, and there is no tangible signs of colder weather progged, you can pretty much kiss winter goodbye. Otherwise, by the time a cool down would start, you have very little time left, unless a complete long term pattern change occurs.
  20. Dark Star
    Exactly!
  21. Dark Star
    I would have guessed the second storm would not have affected NYC Metro area due to the principle of the conservation of energy. However, at times, the atmosphere "does what it wants". Just a few wet flakes were struggling to work in here in Garwood, if you imagined really hard.
  22. Dark Star
  23. Dark Star
    Almost...
  24. Dark Star
    Sacrus' forecast would beg to differ, but I hope no more hot days...
  25. Dark Star
    As a closed low opens up, much energy is released. This energy many times is translated to speed of movement of the system. I would think it would be difficult to project if this "opening of the closed low" would intensify the system for both precipitation amounts and wind. I always feel wind is over forecasted.
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