Dark Star
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Everything posted by Dark Star
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The NYC NWS discussion believes this will be mainly all snow, but hints at some other possibilities as well, depending upon the intensities Based on tracking the discussion on this board, the models are suggesting much more in the way of sleet?
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It was a Winter Storm Warning, for 4-8" of snow, and the NWS never backed off, still believing it was going to be snow. Started off as rain in the greater NYC metro area, turned to snow, then to sleet. My notes say it was a low pressure from the Gulf, moved to Hatteras, then just off the Li shore...
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Been following weather since 1969. Can't remember Winter Storm Watches for sleet? I do not agree that a WSW should be issued for 2"inches of snow and whatever amount of sleet to follow. I think it is especially disingenuous to the public at large.
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But wasn't the subsidence area projected right where the 6.1" bullseye over NE Jersey and NYC is shown? -
I cry foul as well. No way Newark measured 0.5 ". It had to be estimated...
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Was that the year we got back to back snowstorms with 24-36 hours of each other (or a double barrel storm)?
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Trains that run to "nowhere". While they have tracks connecting to many areas of the state, you have to take too many connections to get there. Not ideal for one of the most congested states in the nation, but too late now.
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...and yet the media always tells you to take mass transit during winter weather events, and inevitably, there are delays and line outages...
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0.5" in Newark? Covering at best, but I guess I'm splitting hairs...
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Looks like you were correct, that if it didn't start out heavy, the warm air would have an easier time, changing it to a mix very quickly.
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It gives you time to clear the snow off your car, shovel, and take it slower to work, gives time for the plows to get out and plow and or salt, and if it is real bad, gives you time to make a decision to close completely for the day?
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We are holding you to it.
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1/4 of an inch in Garwood NJ. They salted, again.
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My sunrise was more of an amber, like my teeth...
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Amazingly, it was enough rain to clean our street, which had enough salt to kill every fish in the Rahway River from Cranford to the Arthur Kill, where it empties...
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The climate warming doesn't help. But in my opinion, the relentless Pacific jet has been affecting our weather more than just about anything. Of course, the Pacific jet may very well be a result of global warming as well...
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I think Don said -2.1 degrees for January? That's based on the previous 30 year average, which is a warmer average than taking the last 100 years or so. If we took the last 100 year average, this January was right around normal, maybe a smidgen above normal?
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Cold air is at least not far away. I don't want to post my NYC metro snow triangle again. I've lived through the 70's and 80's with some pretty darn cold winters, but just poor patterns for snow. They key ingredient is cold air. The next is of course everything lining up just right. We live in a zone where we typically straddle the 540 thickness line. One slight tick one way or the other means less snow. Then sometimes, we are in the model's bullseye, and then we get a subsidence zone right over us. I am normally one cancelling winter by late January if the pattern has been miserable and continues to look so on the long range models. This year is different. We have hope. The models aren't sniffing out cold or warm very well, but as long as Canada, especially eastern Canada has cold air, one can be optimistic. Yes, year by year we are warming. Around here especially, as we have learned on this site from the Labrador/Gulf Stream circulation slowing down. We have men on base, we just need the timely hit...
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Now it's too warm.
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I want in on this action!!!
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Mebee so, but I am still optimistic as long as there is cold air in southeastern Canada. A slight tick to the south, and it could change things quickly...
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I'm "assuming" that someone did a statistical study. I understand the concept, but I disagree. I believe we should use all years on record as the average. Otherwise, it is still subjective, in my stubborn opinion.
