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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Dark Star
    Bayville NJ, Sandy has since taken the house away...
  2. Dark Star
    Blue sky has broken through in the beautiful Tremley Point section of Linden NJ
  3. Dark Star
    Meteorological Winter begins December 1st.
  4. Dark Star
    I would think long range predictions of just snowfall is completely unrealistic. The best we can do is to project a colder and wetter season, which probability would suggest some of that will be snow...
  5. Dark Star
    I can't remember the last time lakes and ponds in Union County NJ froze solid enough to skate on.
  6. Dark Star
    Computer model guidance is merely a tool. It's up to the meteorologist to make a forecast based on all the data and experience. As Jeff Beradelli has said many times, the devil is in the details. Somewhere in the modeling are clues to what actually is going to happen.
  7. Dark Star
    The sensors are placed in a vented box, but they don't have to be "in the shade".
  8. Dark Star
    A little bit of Sleet mixing in - in Central Union County, NJ; Now at 2:05 PM we have a snow shower in Garwood.
  9. Dark Star
    As I have said before, the recent upsurge in wildfires have been assisted by intentional human intervention. The extent of it, we will never know. https://www.foxnews.com/us/ex-professor-charged-four-california-wildfires
  10. Dark Star
    I thought a front combined with Ida accounted for the rainfall? The record rainfall amounts were predicted by the models, and I'm pretty sure they didn't take into consideration the ocean temperature feeding more moisture in.
  11. Dark Star
    Almost impossible to say in Garwood, central Union County. The color last week was bland, and now, with half the leaves down, the color has turned much more vibrant.
  12. Dark Star
    More chance of being right if you go warm...
  13. Dark Star
    The center of this thing seems to be anchored in the SW corner of VA, and not moving much. This is supposed to be out of here by Sunday morning?
  14. Dark Star
    Lost power for about 1 minute around 10:30PM last night in Garwood NJ. New "environmentally friendly" storm drains do not seem to be working as well as the original designs.
  15. Dark Star
  16. Dark Star
    Just picked up one about that size in my driveway in NE Jersey a few days ago and put him in a shrub. I rarely see them that big.
  17. Dark Star
    Hard to argue, but it's also hard to believe a global increase of 2 degrees since the 1880's can have such a profound effect. I certainly am ignorant of the "accumulated heat" topic. I guess that may explain why such a seemingly small increase would result in extreme warmer temperatures in our area?
  18. Dark Star
    True Dat, but there is $3.5T coming for "infrastructure"...In the long run, it could be cheaper to bury a lot of utilities instead of making repairs after every tropical storm or tornado...Of course then again, it would probably be done wrong, not burying utilities in such a way that lines can be slipped in or out for future improvements.
  19. Dark Star
    Thinning out the forests does not mean eliminating them. I have read from many sources that forest management is severely lacking. Also need to keep power lines, windmills, etc. away from these areas. All power lines should be underground. It's also amazing how many arsonists there are...
  20. Dark Star
    I think case in point is that the tornado damage occurred in Mullica Hill, in which appears to be a new development? The many undeveloped areas in the most densely populated state are disappearing. AS my brother in law says: K Hovnanian - Filling the spaces in between the spaces. The forecast last Wednesday was correct. However, the actual real time radar was showing the main area of precipitation missing the most populated areas to the north, the radar filled in the back trailing end just before it hit NE New Jersey. I was dead wrong (this wasn't the first time)...
  21. Dark Star
    I deeply apologize for failing to see the impending disaster. I am very humbled.
  22. Dark Star
    Strange, while Garwood NJ (central Union County NJ) has been under some heavy radar, only receiving occasional heavy downpours, mostly light to moderate, with possible tapering off to lighter scattered precip within a half hour, based on the latest radar? Heaviest rain so far at 7:45 PM. I can tell since this is the first time it is spilling over my roof gutters.
  23. Dark Star
    Strange, while Garwood NJ (central Union County NJ) has been under some heavy radar, only receiving occasional heavy downpours, mostly light to moderate, with possible tapering off to lighter scattered precip within a half hour, based on the latest radar?
  24. Dark Star
    I hear thee.
  25. Dark Star
    If a storm is predicted, and misses by 100 miles, its a bust. In fact some forecasters are persistent with the previous 48 hours outputs, that they can't revise their forecasts. Easy for me to say as an armchair forecaster. March 05, 2001 was a major bust when almost every forecaster stuck with the forecast, even after the snow had moved north and east of Manhattan. Alan Kasper was the first to pick this up.
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