Dark Star
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Everything posted by Dark Star
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Looks like some of the heavier stuff is NORTH of I-84. So much for suppression.
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It seems the moderate to long range forecasts have been somewhat elusive?
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However, many times the snow drought was a result of a dome of frigid air.
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Keeping optimistic that central Union County in NJ will escape heaviest of the rains. Appears right now that we will get intermittent showers of varying intensity this afternoon, until the approaching front finally makes it's way through. By then, hopefully, the main rain with that line weakens a bit. However, farther north, Phillipe will feed some extra moisture into the whole mess? -
Hopefully the offshore tropical system will have a lot less influence than previously thought?
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Seems every event lately is a now casting event? I no longer have the skill or courage to make an educated guess, but I'm sure others out there (including our forum) which can make a rational call. In my day, we had very little tools; LFM, Baroclinic, MOS outputs. However, I agree with this event that the max hot spots will be next to impossible to pinpoint.
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Nothing really, except maybe north of NYC? Except any rains that come are during the weekend, sigh...
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Had a waterfront house in Bayville NJ (on the bay) lose 3 walls to Sandy. County eventually bought it through a federal program to reduce houses along the waterfront and increase open space. Unheard of in this day and age.
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Not a hint of haze in Garwood, central Union County, NJ...
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and yet the media tends to encourage commuters to use mass transit during storm situations...
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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One forecaster did say that the remains of Ophelia would meander southeast, then possibly circle back again by weeks' end. It may be difficult to say, unless we have a foresenic meteorologist on board...
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The center of the low that once was Ophelia is now undiscernable, at least via radar or satellite. The last I saw, it was exiting the Jersey Coast, somewhere around Belmar? Obviously it is not going anywhere too fast.
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This track seemed pretty accurate. I would estimate the center is now somewhere between Trenton and Howell NJ?
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The race or the precipitation?
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You can see shunting already. Dry air in place. I thought this was more of a winter phenomenon in these parts. Cold air is much drier, so I figured a tropical system would have much more moisture to overcome any dry air (speaking only of the northeast).
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I suppose there can be mistakes with input data, or is the data automatically uploaded?
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Almost sounds like a loop de loop track? Anybody dare take a poke at a path?
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Cirrus here as well. Is this normal: The cirrus spinning clockwise on the westernside while everything else is moving in a counterclockwise direction?
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Pouring rain in Garwood right now!
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1.77" here in Tremley Point in Linden NJ - almost the same...
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If I remember correctly, Newark Airport weather station is over grass. Central Park is okay for temperature readings, but it shouldn't be under a tree.
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Do they sell thermometers that can be calibrated? I know where I work we compare a thermometer for regulatory purposes, we compare the readings to a NIST thermometer and deduct or add the difference.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Dark Star replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
So is the United Nations' report that this was the hottest summer for the history of humanity correct? If this discussion is on another part of the forum, please let me know. -
It would be hard to believe if this held true this far out?
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and no T-storms on the map...