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Dark Star

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Dark Star

  1. Dark Star
    Jeff Beradelli used to have great reviews of what went right and what went wrong with the different modeling and forecasts, after a snowstorm. That would be much easier than reading through all the clutter (including mine).
  2. Dark Star
    5 3/4" in Garwood. We wound up in a screw zone, just as intensity became heavy around 7:30 this morning, it began to taper off. Snow just became moderate again about 20 minutes ago. However, if we end up with 6", I can't complain; would have liked to have seen/heard some thundersnow...
  3. Dark Star
    Play out? This thing is OVER here. I thing I got hosed...
  4. Dark Star
    Switched to light snow and occasional bright spots. Looks like this is winding down for central Union County NJ.
  5. Dark Star
    Getting much brighter at times here in Garwood NJ...
  6. Dark Star
    Hope your right, storm seems to be pulling away even faster? 3.5" here in Garwwod NJ, central Union County. It was snowing heavily, but has backed off to just moderate...
  7. Dark Star
    Wow, any further trends south could be hardly anything for NYC?
  8. Dark Star
    Dunno, I don't think any MAJOR roadway in NYC (proper) will be terribly affected?
  9. Dark Star
    As I eluded, there are exceptions. January 1996 was a huge snowstorm with no temperature issues. Tomorrow is a marginal storm, where it all has to go right...
  10. Dark Star
    Just my 2 cents, I have never seen "signifcant" accumulating snow in a marginal temperature situation where dry slotting has occurred at some point during the storm. I don't think it is very common to have a dry slot, followed by heavy accumulating snow under any conditions in the immediate NYC metro area?
  11. Dark Star
    I would assume that to be true for most major highways. Local streets would be another story, if rates actually occur?
  12. Dark Star
    Banding? What exactly will be the causes? Won't rates be fairly uniform, depending upon your location in relation to the center of the low?
  13. Dark Star
    Any type of dry slotting with marginal temperatures spells no accumulation for coastal areas...
  14. Dark Star
    this morning's temperature profile looks colder than yesterday's. Still, not ideal for significant snow in the NYC metro area, but definitely improved. If a little more cold air can leak eastward, we might have a better chance, especially if snowfall rates are grater than 1" per hour?
  15. Dark Star
    February has traditionally been the snowiest month, but March is when "anything" can "happen"...
  16. Dark Star
    I agree, but you can begin to track a storm that far out, as long as you look at other things besides the model outputs. There was never going to be any cold air to tap into...
  17. Dark Star
    Snow or rain?
  18. Dark Star
    Live by the models, die by the models. One might ask themselves, is this model correct? WHERE is the even remotely marginally cold air coming from?
  19. Dark Star
    This morning, Quebec is generally in the mid 20s. Obviously this will change, but this area will likely warm as temperatures are expected to hit near 60 in NE Jersey on Saturday. You would need some rapid cooling in Northern New England Sunday into Monday for any cold air to be tapped into?
  20. Dark Star
    Methinks "Atmospheric Rivers" is a media created term, and it stuck.
  21. Dark Star
    What was your lowest temperature so far this season?
  22. Dark Star
    Unfortunately, even with flooding reservoirs, this volume will not last the entire year. Much of it is wasted, as flood waters spill into areas not used for potable water uses. What seems to be the key, in California, is enough "stored" water, in the form of snow in the mountainous areas.
  23. Dark Star
    Which is why I developed the Snow "triangle" for the greater NYC metro area...
  24. Dark Star
    Cooler, drier pattern for NYC, but not sustainable?
  25. Dark Star
    NOT the present situation, this is cumulative. We have progressed...
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