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Everything posted by Dark Star
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At least you didn't have to contend with summer traffic. I could not imagine biking this roadway with cars passing you out. They should have a wider shoulder, with a bike lane and preferably a rumble strip separating the lane.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Dark Star replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Dark Star replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I'm beating a dead horse, but if we only use the previous 20 years as the current average, shouldn't we only use the same set to base our minimum/maximum record temperatures on? -
Ridge's nose must be exactly over our area?
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Not cold air, but cooler air should have been expected with this setup. Obviously it is not winter.
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I don't think so, but maybe where you live? NWS was pretty good for the past 5 days or so.
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Great forecast by the NWS. They nailed it. I never heard of a closed low forming so close to a Hurricane. As though the energy split off? What happened to conservation of energy?
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Wow, clouds moving in all directions...
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Mosquito bites seem to itch almost immediately, but are gone in a day or two. Gnat bites don't seem to appear for a day or two, are itchier, and last up to a week?
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I don't know. NWS was predicting showers for today. But most of us in this blog bought into blocking winning out.
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Sounds like they are burying their heads in the sand? That leaves one day before the playoffs to make up any postponed games (if needed - which is a high probability).
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What are the odds of getting a baseball game in there tonight? Most people were screaming for a DH to be played, starting around noon.
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NWS discussion seems to be bullish on at least some precipitation. Then, if I am reading correctly, they are forecasting the remnants of Helene to come up the eastern seaboard and go out to sea just south of us, which is not what I thought the NHC was forecasting (unless the cutoff low is not from Helene)? Regardless, consensus here seems to be that the northeast ridge dries up most of the precip and directs Helene up towards the Great Lakes. I'm going to guess we do see a scattered light shower here and there tonight into tomorrow night.
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Good question. I will assume the science will argue otherwise. Of course, when I was banging, there were only 2 models. Now, perhaps, there are too many models? Several have known biases. There are more, and better short term precipitation forecastng tools. It seems some models, which have had good sucess have been reconfigured and have become less accurate? We have ensembles, that are usually the most reliable tool. However, we still see enough short term temperature and precipitation busts that invoke doubt, and forget anything over 4 days. Long range is still unachievable ( or at least no better than using historical comparisons)?
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I'm suspecting most of it dries up before it reaches the greater NYC metro area. Maybe a brief sprinkle?
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Dark Star replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
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Close call. Although clouds are trying to push in from the east, they seem to be running into drier air. Maybe the forks are/will be somewhat cloudy?
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Satellite is Reminicent of many a winter storm...
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That would make for one tough forecast, based on the tight gradient close to a very dense population area...
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Depends on where the banding sets up...
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Not that I should speak on how to dress, I claim that plaid below the waist (at least for men) is a fashion faux pas...
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That's for sure. Reseeded twice, the first time right before the semi rainy week about a month ago, and basically nothing germinating, watered every day, starter fertilizer, covered with enriched topsoil, nuthin. Did get some nice spurge, even though I used crabgrass preventer as soon as the forsynthias started to bloom, and then about a month after that. I beginning to believe sometimes these products are not quite legit?
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Luckily, we don't get "real" droughts around here. The worst it has gotten is that they issue "Don't water your lawn (except if you contract a landscaper). I mean, how do you enforce that sort of edict? You can't.
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of what?
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