Dark Star

or at least we did see some snow...

3" even in Garwood, central Union County NJ. Boy was I ever wrong. Despite the trough still to come through, my thoughts were that the coastal would rob most of the energy, as I have so often seen, leaving the original system gasping and drying up. So instead, we had an overperformer, which I will gladly take. I miss Jeff Beradelli's summary of what happened. They would go into depth what models were correct, explain in detail the components involved. It was an excellent hindsight "forecast", meaning the devil is in the details, meaning the clues were there, you just had to pick the right ones to have gotten the right forecast.

Beauteous...

Maybe, but my son flips lawn mowers, boat engines, motorcycles, etc. they all have the same problem, gas in the carb gunked it up.

I think I heard to run it out, then add stabilizer at the end to insure that most of the gasoline is gone, but mainly stabilizer remains in the lines and carb?

What? Worst thing for any gas powered machine. Run all the gas out and prevent that carb from gunking up...

I wouldn't say Mega. Right now, Garwood NJ is in a lull, even though radar says more is to come. It is a matter of how fast the coastal low steals the rest of the energy away from the original Clipper. Seems that when NWS and TV mets start nowcasting for increased snow amounts, that's when the bulk of the precip has likely fallen...

So no conservation of energy with this setup?

The coastal, which I think is too far north already, won't rob the energy and cut off precip in our area after midnight?

Very light snow in Garwood NJ. About 35 degrees. Slight patch o' white on the periphery. Filled in better than I expected, staying mostly snow. We have a clipper, developing coastal and an inverted trough. Without models, I expect the developing coastal to pull most of the energy from the clipper. Even though some say the low was around the outer banks, I think it is much further north than that, and by the time the original source gets here, I would think the coastal will have robbed most of it and "heaviest" snow will be north of suburban NYC?

Yet we just had a post several days ago on how greatly improved most of the models are.

Mood Flurries falling in Garwood, Central Union County NJ

Models are certainly improved since I was banging in 1981, but they have gotten dramatically better since 2004? I've seen some > 5 day models actually get worse in the last few years...

There are some pretty intelligent and rational people here (I'm not one of them). What are these drones?