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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    Euro control amazing. Full capture between Montauk and ACK with a 12 hour loop / stall before lifting out. Control should be treated as just one of the ensemble members but shows what could result. 00Z runs should be interesting.
  2. MANDA
    Euro 18Z ensemble mean at 500 looks amazing only to be outdone by the control. Both imply bombing sfc feature abreast of NJ coast heading vicinity ACK Saturday night. PERHAPS a tad too late for interior NJ but control is 18-24" Jersey coast up through central/eastern LI, RI and into eastern Ma. Ensemble mean is 8-12" over same area. Strong signal this far out.
  3. MANDA
    And at 90 it leaves very little behind in the southern stream. Extrapolated out I believe it would have been an interesting 102 and beyond. Still, LOTS of moving parts and best we can do is watch the trends. NOTHING is written is stone and likely won't be for a while.
  4. MANDA
    A win for you AND the NAM !
  5. MANDA
    Back to moderate snow here. Based on radar meaningful echos will be past this area in next 30 min or so. We'll see if can get anything additional this evening / overnight. Not expecting much.
  6. MANDA
    Pure sleet here in Mt. Arlington now. Temp 21.5 degrees. New snow 3.6" right at time of changeover. Didn't think sleet would get this far NW. Just surged NW in a hurry. Win for the 3K NAM.
  7. MANDA
    Final Mt. Arlington, NJ 1.2" - melted .10".
  8. MANDA
    Absolutely agree. I'll take this for now. All options open at this point but have to like cold high banked to west and north. Opens the door to freezing / frozen precipitation especially inland. Thursday / Friday event looks like a "no go" for this forum but I will take this for now and see where it heads.
  9. MANDA
    Breaks of sun now. Looks beautiful !
  10. MANDA
    Breaks of sun now. Looks beautiful !
  11. MANDA
    Final total here in Mt. Arlington is 4.1". Picked up .9" over last 2 hours. Just some S--/flurries wrapping up as of 3:45. Nice event to "freshen up the pack".
  12. MANDA
    1:00 Mt. Arlington, NJ Total 3.2" with 1.2" last 2 hours. Light snow now and per radar back edge is heading this way. Maybe another 60 - 90 min tops before we are done here. Temp 26.4. Looks nice - snow sticking to everything. Easy to measure.
  13. MANDA
    11:00 a.m. Mt. Arlington, NJ New snow since SB 8:00 = 2" over 3 hours. Temperature 26.6. Moderate snow ongoing. Based on radar my area of NW NJ is on NW fringe of the "good stuff". Better rates and totals coning in southeast of here. Thinking approx 4" for an event total here. We shall see.
  14. MANDA
    9:40 Mt. Arlington Solid moderate snow. 26 degrees Snow began @ 7:50 Just ESTIMATE, have not been out yet but 1/2" looks like it has fallen over last 90 min or so.
  15. MANDA
    Unreal. Just when it looked like OKX radar was about to be clear a large area of 20 - 30 dBZ returns blossomed over western 1/3 of Ct. Large area of steady light snow! Maybe a patch of moderate embedded? System just will not give up the ghost.
  16. MANDA
    Based on latest KDIX / KOKX radar the last of the precipitation / bands will have exited all land areas of the and be out over the ocean over the next 60-90 mins. After (I'm estimating about 84 hours) there will be no precipitation falling over the OKX / PHI CWA. Pretty amazing.
  17. MANDA
    This from latest 2/3 - 4:26 P.M. PHI PNS Statement. Have no idea why it was changed from "trained Spotter to "broadcast media" Also amount dropped from 35.5 to 35.1 not sure why that is either. From what I've read will take weeks to months to confirm if this amount will overtake the current 34" NJ state record. Office of NJ State Climatologist will conduct detailed investigation.
  18. MANDA
    Had period of light snow here about 30 min ago as well. Just flurries now. Just trace amounts added to 27" storm total.
  19. MANDA
    Thanks!
  20. MANDA
    Walt- Noticed the same "blue tinge" here as well. Any idea what causes that? I've noticed it in other deep snows of the past?
  21. MANDA
    As of 7am: Liquid total for the event = 2.25". Snow total for the event = 26.5" Ratio works out to be = Just shy of 12:1 on average.
  22. MANDA
    As of 7am: Liquid total for the event = 2.25". Snow total for the event = 26.5" Ratio works out to be = Just shy of 12:1 on average.
  23. MANDA
    Persistent band moving SSW through most of Sussex into Warren County. Based on radar looks like western Warren could be getting moderate snow at this time. Have not picked up anything additional here since 7am obs so total remains at 26.5". Sweeping drifts to 40". Impossible to walk through.
  24. MANDA
    This Central Park stuff is such nonsense. Simple task and it can't be performed correctly????? What a joke.
  25. MANDA
    7:00 MT. ARLINGTON Storm total snowfall is 23". Drifts near 4' pretty much all around the house now. Can't even make it from garage out to backyard anymore. Just too deep to walk. Snow depth is now 21" as difficult to measure with drifting and some compaction going on. Picked up 1.5" last 2 hours. That is certain as driveway was plowed right after measurement 2 hours ago and now has 1.5" new snow. Still moderate snow under persistent band.
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