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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. It is a week away. The details are far from certain and the models WILL waffle back and forth. I'm just happy there is some potential and something to track. Looks like legit chance of measurable snow especially interior. For now just watch the model trends....long way to go.
  2. Not much mention about the state of the Great Lakes water temps and ice cover. Just checked. On average GL water temps are running about 12 degrees F warmer than this date last year. Average ice coverage is .20%. Neither of those two things is going to help us chill down in any notable way over the next 2 weeks at least. Any "cold" air mass crossing those waters is going to modify significantly. If we could get a frigid air mass to surge southeastward over those warm waters the LE snow guns would roar but not seeing that happen anytime soon.
  3. Yes, keep filter clean, vents on device clean and dump and clean the catch container daily.
  4. I'd be careful running a dehumidifier. If not kept clean you can pump all sorts of bacteria and mold into the air on top of what you may already have. You've got to keep them clean.
  5. Two day rainfall = 2.48". December = 10.43". 2023 = 63.76"
  6. A simpler place and time. Something to be said for that.
  7. Nope, it sure ain't if it verifies.
  8. Not expecting any snow here for the rest of December. That being the case I will be behind the curve of last December when 4" of snow fell here. My expectations on this December were very low but I didn't think it would suck quite this much. My expectations for January are also guarded to say the least, especially if the opening half of the month craps the bed.
  9. I did. Trace amount of the deck. Two day rainfall total = 4.44" (3.82"+ .62")
  10. 3.82" here as of 8am. Winds nothing notable. Maybe a few gusts to 20 mph earlier this morning. The ground is saturated.
  11. Getting off and on torrential downpours here. Would do a July or August day proud for intensity / rainfall rates. The bursts of rain have been brief but just shows you the atmosphere is primed for heavy downpours. Someone in NJ west of I-95 sees 6" in my opinion.
  12. Will be bad news if verifies. Saturated ground and SE winds of that intensity = not good. Tree and power line damage likely. Again, if it verifies. Models have been overzealous with wind forecasts with several events in the recent past.
  13. 500 MB HTS in the low 560's is something most of us don't want on Christmas morning. The 546 at KINL not much better!
  14. Not getting any U.S. cold shots between Christmas and New Year's if that is correct! It is a 360 hour prog but the trend is your friend in this pattern. **IF** this come close to reality it will take a while to scour out that Canadian warmth so the first 7-10 days of January **COULD** be shot.
  15. 2.46" rainfall here. Snowfall .30". Everything was plastered and caked in a wet snow. Only concrete and blacktop remained wet. To Walt's point elevation played big role. Drove down off the top of the ridge I live on (1060') and once to Rt. 80 exit 30, just a mile away very little snow and mainly wet. Bit of elevation near Rockaway on 80 and ground was whitened go down 100' or so and all gone.
  16. Wind was non event here. Barely a light breeze at times over the last 24 hours. Rainfall just glancing at the gauge (will take measurement at 8am) looks like 2 to 2.5". Temperature down to 32 even with light to some moderate snow. Grass and deck coated already with at least 90 min worth of light to some moderate snowfall to come. COULD see 1" on coldest surfaces?
  17. Based on latest radar trends this is not going to produce anything more than 1" for NW NJ. Best rains aimed up along and especially east of I95. Long Island looks to do best with heaviest totals as models have been generally suggesting.
  18. After looking at all the overnight data I think it is safe to say we have started to I am not at all surprised. The signal has been there for a lackluster December. Raging Pacific Jet just ain't gonna cut it for cold and decent snow in the east. Pattern needs to relax and reshuffle and that is not likely to happen before the end of the month. December = shot.
  19. Two periods of light snow here so far this morning. Colder surfaces with a light coating. Temperature 29. I'll take what I can get! Festive mood flakes!
  20. I believe the Ohio Valley Blizzard of January 1978 was also a triple phaser, not 100% sure though. That storm EXPLODED moving almost due north from southern Alabama to just west of Cleveland. Where I was in NENJ at the time we had temperatures into the low 60's and wind gusts to about 60 mph followed by plummeting temperatures and a flash freeze. A blizzard paralyzed the parts of the Ohio Valley. Just a few weeks later we had our turn with the Blizzard of 78 over our area.
  21. Have a set of old DIFAX maps framed on my office wall. Event was well signaled 5 days in advance. All three streams phased from the high Arctic down to the gulf coast. If track was 100 miles further east most of this forum would have seen a snow event rivaling the Blizzard of '88.
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