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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    Picked up just .40" yesterday. Total for August to date is 6.35". Pleasant stretch of weather ahead !
  2. MANDA
    Best bet at this point is to watch the ensembles for trends over the next 5 days or so. You will then get a general idea of what to expect with this and if it might ever become a threat to the U.S. As of now pure speculation.
  3. MANDA
    Could have been across our area had the track not shifted to the left by a rather decent distance over the last few days. Final track a far cry from original offshore track.
  4. MANDA
    Close enough at 7-10 days out. Debby made a marked shift left compared to original tracks in less than 5 days. Worth watching. Nothing has even formed yet....when it does and where it does will have implications one way or the other.
  5. MANDA
    Periods of rain (mostly light but sometimes moderate) dropped another .66". Up to 5.95" for the month. Looking forward to scouring out this tropical humidity and getting some seasonable or below temps with nice low DP's. Some nice cooler nights to open the windows for a change.
  6. MANDA
    Based on the totals over Hunterdon County last 24 hours....never under estimate the potential from tropical downpours. They can easily over perform. Totals of 1 to 1.5". Could be an active day of weather tomorrow. Gusty winds, heavy downpours, local flooding and potential severe. Reverence @wdrag post from earlier.
  7. MANDA
    Based on the totals over Hunterdon County last 24 hours....never under estimate the potential from tropical downpours. They can easily over perform. Totals of 1 to 1.5".
  8. MANDA
    Confirmed. Friend in Pittstown says it is pouring.
  9. MANDA
    Cue the "weenie tags" in 3....2....1
  10. MANDA
    From poking around into some of the rainfall totals from last evening although not near as widespread as Ida but it seems some rainfall rates and totals approached or exceeded those from IDA. Very localized though. Had it been more widespread could have been a serious situation across a large part of this sub forum. Still quite impressive in my opinion.
  11. MANDA
    From poking around into some of the rainfall totals from last evening although not near as widespread as Ida but it seems some rainfall rates and totals approached or exceeded those from IDA. Very localized though. Had it been more widespread could have been a serious situation across a large part of this sub forum. Still quite impressive in my opinion.
  12. MANDA
    Last 24 hours. You can click to enlarge.
  13. MANDA
    Last 24 hours. You can click to enlarge.
  14. MANDA
    Received 3.42" last 24 hours. Roughly 2.5" of that fell in about 30 minutes last evening. Highly variable totals around my area. Total so far for August = 5.04".
  15. MANDA
    Received 3.42" last 24 hours. Roughly 2.5" of that fell in about 30 minutes last evening. Highly variable totals around my area. Total so far for August = 5.04".
  16. MANDA
    Not going out but eyeballing the gauge looks like 2.5" in about 25 minutes! Still raining hard but not as intense as it was.
  17. MANDA
    Deluge ongoing. Nearing 1" real fast. Coming down in torrents with some gustier breezes.
  18. MANDA
    Getting dark here and from the looks of radar a band of heavier rain is aimed in my direction. Will keep ya posted. Outflow boundaries all over the place and storms blowing up along them. The rain is certainly torrential under the heavier bands but they are moving.
  19. MANDA
    Some places in this forum are going to have 8 day totals (Saturday to Saturday) of 7"+. I'm at 1.62" as of now and that is a lower end total compared to some.
  20. MANDA
    Concerning look.
  21. MANDA
    Latest WPC holding steady with excessive totals. Thankfully this is spread out over a few days but even so river flooding could be major concern.
  22. MANDA
    Latest WPC holding solid on excessive totals.
  23. MANDA
    Ida rains well well advertised at least 48 hours in advance. Most guidance was printing out intense and excessive totals over a short time. Maybe not the precise location but the threat was very real. As to the actual effects from the intense short term rainfall I don't think anyone could grasp in advance how bad it was going to be. I believe it was labeled a 1 in 1000 year event but don't quote me on that. At least a 500 year event. The death toll in NJ alone was beyond belief.
  24. MANDA
    Posted yesterday in this thread that worst case is a PRE followed by Debby passing near or just to the east. Moist tropical air would get lifted over frontal boundary into "cooler drier" air mass. Will be interesting to see how remnants interact with upper trof and frontal boundary that will be floundering arcoss our area. My opinion, spatial area of excessive rainfall to be determined but confidence increasing locations in this forum see 5-7"+ totals. Hopefully broken up over several days. Just for reference Ida rains came in a 3-5 hour period. Sort term intense rainfall is by far worse than something spread out over a few days. Regardless, that does little to help river flooding but it does lessen the intense flash flooding that was associated with Ida. Not suggesting this is Ida type event. We'll see how this plays out.
  25. MANDA
    Posted yesterday in August thread. Worst case is a PRE followed by Debby passing near or just to the east. Moist tropical air would get lifted over frontal boundary into "cooler drier" air mass. Will be interesting to see how remnants interact with upper trof and frontal boundary that will be floundering arcoss our area. My opinion, spatial area of excessive rainfall to be determined but confidence increasing locations in this forum see 5-7"+ totals. Hopefully broken up over several days. Just for reference Ida rains came in a 3-5 hour period. Short term intense rainfall is by far worse than something spread out over a few days. Regardless, that does little to help river flooding but it does lessen the intense flash flooding that was associated with Ida. Not suggesting this is Ida type event. We'll see how this plays out.
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