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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    We're at the mid-point of the 2024 Hurricane season and here is where we stand. Nothing hyperactive about it. Potential system off the southeast coast next week would have various U.S. impacts. Atlantic systems being watched: No likely U.S. treats from any of them.
  2. MANDA
    Look at the bright side....we will all get to play several spirited games of Kick the Can ! An annual Winter season tradition of late.
  3. MANDA
    Dry period getting underway. Little to no rainfall next 7 to maybe 10 days. Late season veggie crops will need to be watered. Thankfully lower sun angle in play.
  4. MANDA
    May be a combination of all those factors. Up until recently the ITCZ / Monsoon trough has been displaced north. Only in the last week or so has is drifted more southward. Regardless, there are other factors at play because the western part of the basin has been quiet. I think that issue is more related to the La Nina not being near as robust as was forecast = more unfavorable shear. Better than half the season lies ahead so we'll see what happens going forward.
  5. MANDA
    Minimum temps this morning:
  6. MANDA
    Low this morning of 46. Perfect weather!
  7. MANDA
    Biggest question in the tropics today is do we get to "peak day" September 10 without another named system. Certainly looks like we make it to 9/7 with nothing. Big numbers forecast (20+) now all but a sure fail. Still lots of time left for some notable storms and hits but we're not getting to 20+. All about quality over quantity at this point. Normal ACE to date is 41.1 and we are at 51.1 currently. Normal ACE by 9/10 is 58.2 so we are likely to fall to below normal by then. Normal ACE by 9/7 is where we are now at 51.1. Not calling the season over just being realistic on the big number totals that have been out there for months. One forecast (will not mention names) had a named storm total of 33. I'm sure I'll get a or two but so be it.
  8. MANDA
    This pattern could potentially make for some TS/H landfalls in the U.S. *IF* something would get going. Clearly there are issues with the ongoing season. The big numbers are failing and if this continues much longer the high ACE numbers could be in jeopardy as well. Still, it only takes one and that is by no means off the table at this point. Next 7 days and maybe 10 look rather quiet.
  9. MANDA
    August rainfall here was 10.27" and Y.T.D. standing at 49.23". Potentially headed to 60" for the calendar year. We'll see if we get any assistance from a tropical system.
  10. MANDA
    An overall bust for sure but did ok locally with .88". Just enough to moisten the top soils. Looks like back to dry and very pleasant temperature patter. I'll take it!
  11. MANDA
    I will second this. Don, Bluewave and Sacrus as well.
  12. MANDA
    Great article regarding torrential rains over CT and LI about 10 days ago. Courtesy of Mt. Washington Observatory. Great read. Link: https://mountwashington.org/disaster-in-the-naugatuck-river-valley/
  13. MANDA
    Two day rainfall total here of .88". Received .63" in heavy T-Shower Wednesday evening and another .25" overnight into this morning. Enough to water the garden and lawn.
  14. MANDA
    I'll just change that to we need "some" rain. Things are starting to crisp again. Especially with the sunny skies and late season heat of yesterday, today and tomorrow. So we need "some" rain just not the deluges of late. Either too much or not enough. We need rain totals to be spread out more evenly.
  15. MANDA
    Wow, 20 years. I find that pretty amazing.
  16. MANDA
    Sampling of NJ and NY min temps this morning.
  17. MANDA
    Low this morning of 48. Windows open, heat off and hoodie still in the closet !
  18. MANDA
    The big number threat is going by the boards. Not likely anything named next 7 days and maybe 10. That leaves a lot heavy lifting for September and October to get to 20 much less low or mid 20's. Highly unlikely at this point. Not to say we don't have some high quality Tropical Cyclones over the next 8 weeks.
  19. MANDA
    Absolutely amazing mid August weather! Gusty breeze and temperatures in the low 50's this morning. Will make the heat and humidity all the more unwanted when it returns next week. Honestly done with heat and humidity for this season. This weather is great.
  20. MANDA
    2.88" last 24 hours and two day total of 3.01". About 2" of that 2.88" fell in about 45 min. last evening between roughly 5:00 and 5:45. Off and on heavy showers well into the evening. Got off easy around here. Got more than enough rain to soak things but not enough to cause issues. Enough is as good as a feast. Seems we are seeing much more of these Flood Emergency type events in recent years. Never remember so many. Seems at least one a year in this sub forum area over the last few years. Several this year alone. Guess it is the new normal in the warmer more moisture laden era we are in. Hope nothing tropical to cap it off over the next several weeks. Not taking bets on that though.
  21. MANDA
    Certainly will be nothing they have not seen before.
  22. MANDA
    Maybe the season will be more about quality and not quantity. The 5 named so far have all been "quality" systems. ACE supports that as well. Agree, not thinking we're going to see named storms get into the m/u 20's.
  23. MANDA
    Can you imagine if a "Connie and Diane" scenario unfolded today !?
  24. MANDA
    Windows open last night! Nice and cool this morning. Overnight low of 55 degrees with light breeze and low DP'S. Can't beat it for mid August.
  25. MANDA
    Picked up just .40" yesterday. Total for August to date is 6.35". Pleasant stretch of weather ahead !
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