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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. Just amazing persistence on the dry pattern continuing. Even if there are some very light totals here and there with various frontal passages the message is that the dry pattern continues for now.
  2. Thought these graphics were interesting & impressive in regards to Helene:
  3. Same here with the landscapers. Dust storm is an understatement.
  4. Thankful for that low sun angle! That and the great foliage make this warmth more tolerable.
  5. Always live and celebrate "today" because tomorrow is a guarantee for no one.
  6. That is a lot of real estate with not a cloud in sight.
  7. If this turns into reality we are solidly in record territory for lack of rainfall for a calendar month and extended dry periods.
  8. Was out doing yard work yesterday and today. Nice weather to do it but the soil that is not getting irrigated is absolutely bone dry and dusty to a depth of at least 6-8". We are just fortunate this did not happen in July and August. Would have been horrendous for gardening and crops.
  9. Gotta love inconsiderate people. Been there and it is infuriating. In the meantime this dry pattern rolls on. The chilly nights this week have been great!
  10. There were Freeze Warnings posted for my area, not sure if they extended as far south as your area.
  11. Latest Drought Monitor. Abnormal dryness and drought continues to expand.
  12. Just really impressive to see model cycle after model cycle with little or no precipitation for 10 day periods. Only a trace here (on two days) for the month to date. Just so dry. Will be interesting to see new Drought Monitor release tomorrow.
  13. Not that anyone puts any credence in a 378 hour GFS prog but just to see something that dry especially at this time of year is quite impressive.
  14. This cool / chilly weather is great. The dryness is getting beyond annoying.
  15. That high latitude block during all of September really meant business. Looks like another week without meaningful rainfall. The chilly incoming air mass will be nice though. Fall foliage around my area is really starting to peak now. Nicest color I think I've seen in several years.
  16. Gave in and fired up the furnace this morning. The cat, Amanda "Manda" heard the furnace click on and took off to her favorite heating vet! The breeze was pretty brisk all night and that kept the temperatures from really dropping here on top of the hill. Low was 39. Was much colder in the usual NJ cold spots.
  17. Latest Drought Monitor showing the dryness and drought gradually expanding over the Northeast. Check out West Virginia. Going to take some good rains to turn that around.
  18. Edit to my prior post. Found this: Using Advisory #1 it was off by 12 miles. TPC shifted the track northward in Advisory #2 from initial Advisory. Just noise really but forecast was amazing 4.5 days out.
  19. Here is a look at the "smoothed out" track of Milton. Does not capture the various wobbles along the way. There was a notable southward displacement to the actual track vs. original forecast from last Saturday afternoon - Advisory #2. Actual track was in the cone the entire time from that early forecast. In the final run to the coast there was a more pronounced turn to the NE than the original forecast. The landfall point from 5 days out was off by no more than 30 miles and the exit point off the east coast was off by about the same. Both were just south of the original forecast track. The early southward dip was the most notable forecast error.
  20. Yeah, I agree. Might need it for an hour or so in the morning to "take the chill out" as they say.
  21. Almost turned the heat on this morning but resisted ! Morning low was 41 with a noticeable breeze. Nippy!
  22. Thanks! Was wondering what it was looking like down that way.
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