MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Deck getting coated.
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32.9 75392616265__37EAA636-BCE9-419F-8B3C-B3FBE4C51633.MOV
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Now 34 degrees. Short video. 75392568105__EA20A638-27C7-4D41-BC5D-188D4DCBF212.MOV
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34.5 and wet flakes mixing in with the rain.
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Down to 36. Winds gusting to about 25 mph. Has been a steady drop in temps from 44 degrees about 2:00 earlier this afternoon.
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My weather app is excited.
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Down to 38 here.
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Yes, sorry. My mistake. Fixed it.
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Advisory now posted for NW NJ counties. Thinking 1 to maybe 3" especially non paved surfaces at my location just a tad above 1000'.
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Great satellite presentation this morning. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop30v.html Synoptic setup with this event next 24-36 hours is really unique surface and aloft. Really interesting setup. Track of upper level low means some surprises are certainly possible in terms of snowfall.
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Received .95" of very welcome rainfall here overnight. Nice November day out there today! Love it.
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Yeah, the same model that 24 hours ago had me getting 14-18" of snow in the next 24-36 hours. GFS is a follower....not a leader. Even the leaders of years past are not doing well past 3-5 days lately.
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Looks like we are entering a wetter pattern and the persistent dryness will yield to a pattern with more frequent precipitation!
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What a beautiful day! Heavy overcast, chilly temperatures, light breeze and a soaking rain with wind on the way. Been waiting months for a day(s) like this! Any snow will be a bonus. I think I do better at my location than what Mt. Holly is going with at the moment.
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I'm guessing a top 5 driest as well? Depending on what happens over the next 3-4 days.
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I don't even care that it is rain and not snow that is modeled. Will take every drop and be happy.
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First time in a very long time that the southeast ridge has not fought back to screw things up and has allowed a northern stream s/w to dig far enough south and deliver the goods. Hopefully a good sign of things to come but I'm not going to get carried away just yet. I will take the upcoming rain and thoroughly enjoy it.
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Shit! The heaviest is south and east of me !
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Said yesterday much will depend on track of upper level low and development (If any) of a triple point surface feature. That remains true this morning. Lots off room here for just frontal passage type rains. Trends today and tomorrow will be key.
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Proximity to upper low and any triple point is key to who gets what and how much. Still time for adjustments positive or negative. Anything less than .50" will be a huge disappointment.
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In addition to all the brown grass it is disheartening to drive by any of the local reservoirs around here. They are low and getting lower. Lowest I have seen in a long time.
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That 1989 warm surge was followed by a bitter cold December. Rest of the winter was a relative dud. Remember that December cold well.
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Major trof buckling into the Ohio Valley and this is about a week away so details to be worked out but model support there for 1"+ rainfall if things evolve favorably. First test of the Fall / Winter season if we are going to be playing Kick the Can again this season on colder and storminess.
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Cutter or not....I'll take it! Like to see some model persistence as well but I am optimistic.
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Nico to have a cloudy day for a change.
