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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. Working in the yard the last few days and the top soil is dust. Bone dry. October rainfall to date at my location is 1.56". That is FAR better than last October when the entire month had just a Trace. Still need rain badly. Think reasonable expectation for my area is 1" from the coming event based on current guidance. Anything more will be a gift and anything less will be a disappointment.
  2. Working in the yard the last few days and the top soil is dust. Bone dry. October rainfall to date at my location is 1.56". That is FAR better than last October when the entire month had just a Trace. Still need rain badly. Think reasonable expectation for my area is 1" from the coming event based on current guidance. Anything more will be a gift and anything less will be a disappointment.
  3. There looks to be a mesovortex rotating around inside the eye on visible loop as it makes landfall. Have to wonder if like in Andrew that will produce some extreme local wind gusts as Melissa comes ashore. We should have a landfall statement from TPC incoming at any time now. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop90.html
  4. Full on stadium effect at landfall. Just amazing. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop90.html
  5. West Pac material here. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop180i.html
  6. I think it is safe to say this storm went as advertised for coastal NJ and Long Island in terms of wind gusts, power outages, coastal flooding and beach erosion. Rainfall varied from west to east and no totals really out of hand. I don’t quite get the number of inland power outages as this was pretty much run of the mill in my area. Rain with wind gusts of 30-35 mph should not be knocking out power. Guess trees still in full leaf part of the problem? Not like the ground was saturated so don’t quite get it. Coastal NJ as expected took the brunt of this. Some impressive videos from along the NJ shore.
  7. Nice! We’ve not had a stretch of weather like this in while. Looks and feels like October should. Lots of leaves down overnight up this way.
  8. Interesting satellite loop this morning. Don't see dual lows like that often. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_OV/loop30v.html
  9. Received .43” last 24 hours. Event total = .59”. Mist and drizzle ongoing. Temp 49. Chilly, damp and raw. Winds have pulled back from the gustiness of overnight and early this morning.
  10. Rainfall totals OKX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&highlight=off&glossary=1#:~:text= 4
  11. Max winds OKX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=2&highlight=off&glossary=1
  12. This was not overplayed along the coast. Meeting expectations at a minimum. Especially for NJ beaches. LI power outages nothing to sneeze at either.
  13. Little Egg Harbor recently gusted to 59 mph. Winds busier than they have been up here all day. Nothing dramatic but estimated 20-25 mph gust at times. Just a bit of mist in the air.
  14. SNJ Coastal Flooding video. https://x.com/i/status/1977412609877123362 https://x.com/i/status/1977439577813172611
  15. I think part of the reason for lack of a bigger water push is wind direction. Winds are more NNE than anything. Until or if they turn more ENE I can't see much reason for tides to go higher than they were earlier. Ultimate sfc low pressure track will determine if they go more easterly. Not downplaying but if not more of an east component coastal flooding would I think be held to moderate at best.
  16. Peak gusts as of 12:25 p.m. along NJ coast attached: Some beach cam links: https://friendsofibsp.org/live-cams/oba1-beach-cam/ https://exit82.com/beach-cam/ https://njsurfer.com/
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