MANDA
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Same here. Just clipped my area. Skies partly cloudy right now.
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Skies brightening here. Based on latest visible will be seeing breaks here over the next 60-90 minutes.
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Rainfall totals through about 8am from current event. The places that have gotten the most rainfall recently continue to get soaked.
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Another solid soaking overnight into earlier this morning. Received 1.92" along with vivid lightning and some loud thunder. Getting too wet at this point. Need to turn these firehose events off for a while. Too much of a good thing.
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If the tropics showed any sign of life I'd be concerned about something sneaking into the southwest Atlantic and having a blocked escape route but tropics look to remain quiet for the next 7-10 days. Depending on how far west the ridge can flex this pattern could be one that produces above normal precipitation. Keep the weak trof axis along the Appalachians or over the Ohio Valley and the ridge off shore and a deep southerly flow could aid heavy rainfall, depending on synoptic setup.
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The shear over the Caribbean is nuts so nothing gonna come through there. I'd watch 20-30N and west of 50-55W for anything to get going beyond 10 days. Big plume of dust coming across over the next week or so. Climo ramping up as we move through August so will be interesting to see what can get going with developing and already strong El-Nino.
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Last of the showers finally rotated through here about 10:30 last night. Picked up an additional .04". July ended up with 8.99" here and that is on the lower side for my area. Looks like another general 1" of rainfall next week. Locally higher amounts possible. Nice day today!
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This is what you call cyclonic rot July style. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop60v.html
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Rainfall totals covering the entire event. Surprised the totals over the western third of Massachusetts are not higher given the radar over that area most of yesterday. Click to enlarge.
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Radar shows it finally pulling west and north of Albany proper but damage is clearly done.
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Deep moist fetch being rammed into the higher elevations and wrung out. Orographic lift going full bore. Bad situation.
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If you didn't know any better you would swear some tropical remnant merged with a frontal system was cutting into SNE this morning. https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_NE/loop60v.html
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One and two days totals: Click map to enlarge.
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Event total here: 1.99". Enough but not excessive. While some slight long term dryness is still going on the drought up in my area is essentially over. July will end up being a very wet month up this way and for the sub forum with maybe a few exceptions. Just need to keep up at least normal rainfall next several months to keep from slipping back into dryness. Gotta love the negative tilt trof exiting off the Mid-Atlantic and SNE coast this morning. High anomalous for July. Not sure my grass has ever been greener heading into August.
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Hardest rain of the day right now. This time with some wind. Rain pelting the side of the house.
