Doorman

Looky Looky

Not to promote any false hope..but take a look Can't recall the last time we had a 1045mb (strong) High pressure area in December like this.... Can it help slow and expand the precip shield , till the cold push comes in? Lets see what shakes out! whistle dixie

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-HHC-1-24 lets ride it out till the end.....no harm--no foul

Dead on forecast ...WG...dead on I say

E you should work for Upton then...

for the record ...this prog shows a 993mb low making a U-turn then bombing out at 976mb off the Coast of New England.... .....I love this tracking shite

Capture of one area of low pressure...for starters that second spoke of energy(low pressure) has been like a maverick clipper low ....outrunning of the larger Gyre of the UUL... if this makes any sense to anyone

What we have seen here, is a cluster muck of chaos today two competing surface lows in the Atlantic A ULL on the hunt for them to the south west out of sync....with no capture...no stalling...no bombogenesis for the Metro throw in hundred horrid model runs....for good measure I picked a bad day to stop drinking......

let one of our pro mets ....talk us thru this surface prog....bet you could write a book about it!

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-HHC-1-48. you can see the radar fill with snow..... with the mix line headed south steady snow till further notice

The surface progs from the OPC inside of 24hrs are money.... their forecasters are some of the best in the biz trust me on this

CG that ensemble mean from the other nite WAS golden!!!!! best to all tommy e

Brasy that is surface low track guidance the ULL upper level low is progged to capture the surface low underneath it and that is shown here

HOT off the press.... OPC surface prog.....dead center on the benchmark at 991mb get your shovels ready in the metro

you think this system has some moxy to it??? loop it here ...then cool the bellyaching https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

I will ride the OPC updated hook and ladder track and give the city and to the west of the Hudson River a great shot at 6+ final call.....she slides slowly east then underneath the benchmark on this prog snow bunnies delight

powerhouse....

Snow weenies want maxed out totals..but today is not the day for fun and games... very dangerous transitions in the burbs thru the afternoon

You can see how p-type on this radar meshes with the wet bulb guidance

do the math....then you have your answer

No....LB The dewpoint temperature is the temperature at which the air can no longer "hold" all of the water vapor which is mixed with it, and some of the water vapor must condense into liquid water. The dew point is always lower than (or equal to) the air temperature Current conditions at New York City, Central Park (KNYC) Lat: 40.78°NLon: 73.97°WElev: 154ft. Unknown Precip 32°F -0°C Humidity 85% Wind Speed NE 10 G 21 mph Barometer 29.87 in (1010.7 mb) Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C) -------- Visibility 8.00 mi Wind Chill 24°F (-4°C) Last update 1 Dec 12:51 pm EST

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/archiveviewer.php?sector=16&parm=tran# wet bulb temp guidance a quick inch or two of snow is possible north of that temp prog line Wet-bulb temperature. The wet-bulb temperature (WBT) is the temperature read by a thermometer covered in water-soaked cloth (wet-bulb thermometer) over which air is passed. At 100% relative humidity, the wet-bulb temperature is equal to the air temperature (dry-bulb temperature) and it is lower at lower humidity.

surface temps

989mb noreaster....will make its own scenarios bank on that!

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 994mb of winter spin on the way east ---with transfer at the coast Monday