Doorman

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-Virginias-sandwich-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 36 hr screenshot precip.....Canadian prog NASTY for L.I.

Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 504 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020 Day 2 Valid 12Z Fri Jul 10 2020 - 12Z Sat Jul 11 2020 ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST... ...Mid Atlantic/New England... ...20Z Update... Pretty big QPF/ERO changes at this update as the newly formed Tropical Storm Fay will track a bit closer to the coast and into inland New England than was previous forecast. This then brings the axis of heaviest rain farther inland; along and east of the I-95 corridor across portions of DE, eastern PA, into NY and points east. As precipitable water values of over 2.25 inches work inland aided by easterly low level flow with the track orienting NNE over the period, expect efficient rain rates and training (as the propagation vectors and mean wind align) not only across much of Delaware, eastern PA (Poconos), NJ and into update NY associated with northern quadrants but with thunderstorms moving across Long Island and points north into CT/RI and MA. Areal average precipitation is around 1-3+ inches with locally higher amounts possible. Given much of this region has received an abundance of rain over the past several days, especially eastern PA/NJ and update NY, feel soils are sensitive to additional rainfall. Therefore, a Slight Risk was introduced based on the latest QPF/model trends. A Moderate Risk may be needed, especially for the urban sector, if the QPF continues to highlight this region and trend upward. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=2

day 5 verification...who needs to model hug????? NEXT

in like a liar...out on the lam.... February !!!!

Day late..Dollar short.... https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/ens.html#us

Vineland ....Advisory Level better start a thread......

GUIDANCE----

THER-MALWARE

Thin Line Between Love and Hate.....

GEFS digital snow prog.............. even in the land of make believe ,,,this is crap on a stick!!!

because some love huggin,,, all things Euro, https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/52736-the-panic-room-winter-2019-2020/?do=findComment&comment=5414407 really enjoy the pissn contests as always..... DM

Trenton NJ for the WIN!!!! war-mis-ta uh huh https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/GEFS/2020010712/MA/GEFSMA_prec_snens_384.png

Someone tell me when ..we are supposed to get excited

slice it and dice it....

Freezing Level.... Teasing Level..... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1#

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-HHC-1-24# DS=Dry-Snow fwiw

snow down to Atlantic City ... temps crash that hard? 10 am Weds

Miller A....on the way 24hr qpf has a very nice look k

https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

...Central Appalachians through New England... Day 3... A cold front will drop southeast through the region Tuesday afternoon, while a southern stream shortwave lags back across Texas. As this shortwave begins to lift northeast, forcing through height falls and mid-level divergence will lift atop the front producing anafrontal moisture. As the cold air continues to filter southeastward, the column will cool, and forcing may become intense through robust and steeply sloped 850-600mb frontogenesis overlapped with RRQ diffluence of an intensifying 170+kt upper jet streak. The combination of intense ascent and a cooling column will cause precipitation to changeover from rain to snow. The guidance still differs considerably in timing and location of precipitation, but confidence is increasing in at least light snow accumulations along a swath from central TN northeast into southern ME. WPC probabilities for 2" are above 10% only in the terrain of the central Appalachians and into the Catskills/Berkshires, but with such intense forcing it is possible the column will cool more rapidly, and light snow accumulations may be possible early Wednesday even into the I-95 corridor. https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd

more brush than crush atm

lock it in