HKY_WX
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Everything posted by HKY_WX
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There's a nice cutoff 850 low over eastern nc friday night. Should provide a nice band of snow over central nc. Exciting trends on the nam tonight for the triangle.
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Outside of the mtns and va border, the triad is prob the best spot.
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Warm inversion in the Lee sucks lol. Remember that many times in hky. Ral looks like a classic front end dusting to sleer/rain with a backend inch or two. These 10:1 maps are worthless if you live below 3000ft. I'd stick to the ferrier method for a system like this. This will be purely rate driven outside of the mountains and VA/NC border.
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10:1ratio maps are prob pretty useless considering this will be marginal below 850mb. Still, the dynamics will support some banding and clusters of higher amounts. Def will be a hit or miss type of event
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Definitely like the foothills and western Piedmont for a mixed bag as of now. Will need a continued cold trend to get the triangle in the game. Still time for trends in either direction
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Given the amplitude of the incoming sub tropical wave and the increasingly (trending) stronger confluent setup over the northeast, someone is likely to see a very high impact ip/zr storm in the mid Atlantic. Whether its central VA or central/western NC, still too early to say.
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Trend is most important here. Definitely liking this one from an ice perspective in the usual spots.
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The 500mb low over New England is a good sign for day 4. This will back up the flow and promote a cutoff/more negative tilting trough. Models have a tendency to play catch up in these scenarios.
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Looks like the eye has most cleared out on WV Sat. Also some explosive CDO in the NE Eyewall. Possibly some land frictional impacts as it makes landfall.
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I wouldn't surprise me either. I'm not sure they have been tested quite like they're about to be tested after the COE redesigned them post-Katrina. Unreal we have a rapidly strengthening (Likely Major) Hurricane heading directly for them. How 2020
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When the Levee breaks, Moma you got to move.... LZ
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Not comparing the systems in that context. It's been a while since a formidable hurricane took a path this close (or directly over) New Orleans.
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Makes me wonder what kind of impact this will have on the New Orleans Levees. Coming in at a simliar angle to Katrina, just a bit further west.
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Definitely strengthening at the moment
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Day 10 is very close to a Hazel scenario with caribbean tropic trouble and a potential negative tilt through/ cutoff over the Ohio Valley. Something to watch at least.
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Definitely don't see any indications of shear and the SST's are more than warm enough. Agree with the above sentiments that this regains Cat 4 status tomorrow sometime.
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Agreed, I think we'll see some significant intensification tonight/tomorrow.
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Delta has that "look" this morning. IMO it looks more organized exiting the Yucatan.
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TCHP in the Caribbean is off the charts.
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Quite the hellacious lead band just came through here in Raleigh. Heavy rain and gusty winds.
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do u guys have a link to the chase stream
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Waterboro got pasted
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Headed towards chs. Hope it fades bf
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Geeze
