packbacker

Bama came to play...Saban don’t forget.

LOL...well it ended up going nuts so...

This is what I thought/hope things would look like on the globals tonight. 3km isn’t on roids but still a solid small event.

Would totally take this and run. Flurry fest and cold. Great snow hole between VA and SC

This is usually when things go sideways for Raleigh, so figured NAM’s would do this. I still think we can maybe see some flakes but even that is a long shot.

Well there is a fairly good consensus now on the timing of the sw’s. Hopefully eastern SC/NC gets hit good still.

LOL...going to be a whiff it looks like. All hail GFS/Euro. It doesn’t snow in Raleigh...never will. But I do think east of 95 gets a couple off inches when all said and done.

Shifted east 30 miles. These are so useless though.

I feel a complete debacle tonight. If NAM’s cave I am going to bed.

I will buy into the NAM's tonight if they show what they showed at 12z for the 12km NAM and at 12/18z on the 3km NAM. The 21z SREF's ticked east some. The ARW members really backed off quite a bit...has 2-3" mean for RDU with 6"+ for NE NC. The NMB member mean actually went up quite a bit but the spread increased....it has 7 big members and 5 complete whiffs for all the Carolina's. What I still don't get is the GEFS/GEPS are very close in there member plot but GEPS has much more precip further west. Shift these 50 more miles that would be a pretty good look with 980-990 SLP's.

And we got digimon back in our corner. Right with the JMA and Navgem.

Shocking. I do think the GFS is to far SE but the 3km NAM ain’t happening. The UK/CMC blend is in the middle of all models.

Your stupidity is just sad. LOL. Keep hugging the NAM, see where that gets you.

Flurries sounds good to me. Or this might work out too...LOL. If I get 2" out of this I will tattoo Mack rocks on my forehead.

And just like that...NAM says done with the west trend and starts ticking toward the EPS. LOL at Mack...he thought it was going to get snow out of this.

LOL...why I am posting in here. Panic is fun. In all seriousness the NAM is stronger with the trailing wave, interesting what happens due to that, if anything. Also, has a spurious vort over KY which may be inhibiting it from the first wave going more neutral. B

Well the UK/CMC/CMC-E do bring us maybe 1-2" so that's probably the high end of what we see. Euro/EPS aren't even close...these usually blend to each other. 95 and east looks good to me.

LOL...this is going to be big time east on the 18z NAM. Huggers of the NAM beware

I predict the NAM slowly fades to the EPS. Already at 27 there is more separation between the two waves.

Or do you believe the GGEM ensembles. I have more digital snow from this model then any model...even the NAM's.

Yep...no way the Euro busts this bad. Well it did bust a few weeks ago and last January...both shifted way west inside 48. Guess we have to watch for another day. I hope the NAM’s are a whiff.

Well RGEM is coming in with a later phase then the NAM's. But, it's closer then it's previous runs. Looks really close to the 6zGFS actually. But it's fractions away from the NAM's. NAM's at 48 is neutral almost negative and RGEM is neutral almost positive.

LOL...because it's sleet and we get snow holed. NAM has it pulling away at this time, nothing after. The 3km is nuts though.

LOL...I know, we need another model to show this...besides the NAM's and it's cousins (SREF's). But, it's pretty to look at.

Can't help but laugh....Raleigh's snow shield even works on fantasy NAM snow now.