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packbacker

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Everything posted by packbacker

  1. packbacker
    FYI...this was the meteo from the Euro last night for Raleigh...not even close to rain. I could expect at 12z to see some "MIX" instead of "SNOW" in an hour or so.
  2. packbacker
    Well the NAM's were worrisome, the UK/GFS ticked NW. We will know in about 45 mins what our fate is with the Euro. But, I don't usually use the UK for temps...nor would I use the GFS. It's Euro's storm now.
  3. packbacker
    You suck! Every winter event it's either you or me that gets the snow....I have been getting my butt kicked overtime. Like the Cleveland Browns of snow.
  4. packbacker
    GEFS 12z (left) v/s 0z (right) snowfall mean....sucks this will trend to a rainstorm for us.
  5. packbacker
    Well RDU looks to be all frozen on UK but probably mixing with sleet. QPF still about 0.75"
  6. packbacker
    We didn't want snow anyways...the ground temps would have ruined everything...
  7. packbacker
    Will know roughly in 10 mins.
  8. packbacker
    Well I was right about jacking max QPF but wrong about all the rain we are getting...LOL
  9. packbacker
    UK shifted much stronger and just off the coast...can't be good for thermals.
  10. packbacker
    Yes...but give me a few until I get better maps. The GFS is almost a perfect track for us, QPF max, but barely all snow, from what I can see. To bad it's SE of where it will end up. I am putting all my apples in the Euro basket and the UK.
  11. packbacker
    Canadians must not have gotten the new upper air data, if anything the 12z GEM looks a little weaker, like the RGEM did.
  12. packbacker
    Well I think whatever the Euro shows today will probably be a good bet inside 36. It will have all the upper data so hopefully we can squeeze some sleet and 1-2" of backside snow.
  13. packbacker
    The new upper air data must have really thrown a monkey wrench into things. Darn upper air...helped us at Boxing Day, kills us here.
  14. packbacker
    Amazing...what a disaster 36 hours out things usually fall apart for us. The Euro is going to be a mess for us...I guess we shouldn't be surprised, we never learn. Good news is our weekend won't be a complete lockdown for us.
  15. packbacker
    I don't know, a 30 mile NW shift now and we are mostly rain. Still 36 hours out...that's an eternity. Last time we see GFS run with this type snow for us.
  16. packbacker
    It's over...GFS shifted NW and we are tainting, by this time tomorrow we are 35F and rain. GSO to RIC to DC will jack...same ole same ole.
  17. packbacker
    Said yesterday...hug the least snowy model. Cold rain incoming....
  18. packbacker
    Que the Lucy gif...thank goodness I am in meetings all day and can't watch the train wreck 12z models come in.
  19. packbacker
    LOL...why I wanted to wait until 12z runs today, the shift was going to happen. I thought after the Euro/EPS ticked SE we wouldn't have to worry about this. Oh well, it's just snow :-)
  20. packbacker
    Just like Jan 2010. At this point I hope it runs up 95 and we just rain.
  21. packbacker
    LOL...we should have known this would happen. ColdRain was right...cold rain on the NAM's.
  22. packbacker
    Well this NAM run has that low a hair stronger again. Uh oh...
  23. packbacker
    3-5 would be awesome!
  24. packbacker
    Don't think we rain, I hope, but if we mix with sleet then that means we are in qpf max.
  25. packbacker
    GEFS was about 0.8" qpf and EPS was a little over 0.6". Let's hope these 12z runs hold.
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