WxKnurd
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Everything posted by WxKnurd
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Backpacked in a mile and a half and camped at 5000’ overnight. No clue on temps but put my new 5-degree sleeping bag to the test and it shined. Was a beautiful day covering 6 miles today even though I didn’t hear a single turkey. Here’s a pic of camp yesterday evening.
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Fished some wild water around 4000’ for maybe an hour but no natives caught it or seen. 4-5 miles and 1700’ elevation loss/gain has me beat. Ready for next Saturday though!
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Was a bit breezy and chilly yesterday morning above 5000’ while listening for turkeys gobbling. Headed back up there later this morning to pick out an area for a campsite for next Friday evening, scout for the turkey opener next Saturday and do a little wild water fishing.
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Light, fine mix on my side of Haywood
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Hasn’t been “abnormally dry” there since the Dec 10 update. From Dec 17 on only NE NC had been abnormally dry in the Carolinas and that finally went away with the last update.
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I’d like to see a closer look at the mountains, hard to map out ridge tops and higher elevations that far zoomed out and smoothed out. Puts me at around 2’ a year which seems to be correct lately from what I’ve gathered but also less than there used to be from what I’ve heard from residents too.
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Next one is on its way, I’ve just missed the bad leading edge last night and this morning where I am working in Indiana. Same areas taking a beating 12 hours apart and they didn’t need any more heavy rain up here with the local flooding.
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Officially a resident of Haywood County. Always said I’d have a log home in the mountains one day and am proud to say I’m a log homeowner at 3350’ now, hard work still gets you what you want!
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Is it bad I am taking into account elevation and winter weather prospects when we head to look at houses in Haywood County tomorrow? I didn’t think so either...
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I’ve fared a little better here NW of town but have had higher totals all around me since building over here 7 years ago. Always something whether anemic rates, tiny flake size, sleet, etc. Kills me as growing up in northern Catawba County always put me on the good size of these kind of storms. Wife wants to move back home to somewhere around Asheville so hopefully this time next year I’ll be posting from 3000+ feet.
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Colder look makes sense if you look at current conditions, the high pressure back around the Lakes is 1038, 850’s are good, 925 looking good.
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Spruce Pine could be do able, I know once you get to Burnsville Hwy 19 is 4 lane limited access all the way to 26.
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Looks like it actually ticked up about .4", from 4.21" and plumes done snowing at 15 compared to 4.61" and some plumes still snowing. HKY went from 11.98" to 9.73" but again, more plumes showing it still showing it snowing.
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Then that makes the other maps that were confusing us when compared with the current forecasted amount map make sense now, probably also automated via WPC suite.
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Oh I agree, just pointing out that the expected map makes no sense when you factor in all the other product maps they put out with it. And that’s the only reasoning I could think of, which makes sense when you look at the disco about QPF and sleet SW of Asheville. Seems like their reasoning is banks on snow being rate driven given the thermal profile.
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Just scrolled through their maps, the high end matches up with model output but then when you look at expected and then scroll through the “% of x inches”, it makes no sense why they went with what they did. only thing I can figure is they see this mainly a CAD region storm in regards to snow as the ice accumulation map is highest SW of Asheville.
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Yes and INT is the code for Winston’s airport.
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HKY mean for SREF plumes was right at 12”, CLT was touch over 4”. Both had a total QPF a touch a few hundredths over 2”. But the sref burned us last year even up to go time, plus it’s at the long-range time period of this short range model.
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Yes, you want the 850 Low to track to your south.
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Could also aid moisture transport (not that it’s really needed in this setup) if you have a positive tilt to it. But those things are a nowcast issue.
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The crusher of hopes and dreams lol. These big storms are always hard to start and stay all snow for us, even growing up around Hickory you’d have some sleet and then a glaze of freezing rain to end. My issue the past few storms at my place besides the sleet has been terrible dendrite growth. Everyone will be talking about big fat flakes and I’ll be getting hit with dime size or smaller.
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Phil’s Coefficient radarscope will be getting a workout by me for this one, like always these last few years.
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Allan or Brandon does. Basically for a HKY blockbuster a Miller A track around CHS and up the coast is best, CLT was SAV or Jacksonville and riding just a bit further off coast. If I remember correctly.
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They’ll get smoked but that drive out 64 from 23 is gonna be treacherous once you hit the gorge and head up the mountain. You could go out to/come from Sky Valley and have less curves but that road might not be plowed as soon as 64.
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Take it the bank, Mecklenburg minimum of “only” 12-15” is over my house while just 5 miles due west across the river gets you in 20”+ totals. That’s an amazing clown map! Sounds like the H5 maps were tantalizing close to something even more special, if that’s actually possible.
