winter_warlock

My total today was .3125 inches about 5/16th of an inch . Brings my season total to 3.2875 inches so far

FWIW. From a respected met Mike Masco..about the upcoming storm ANOTHER STORM SIGNAL NEXT WEEKEND? As one storm exits, another is already on the radar. And once again, the AI European model deserves some credit — it sniffed out our most recent storm well before any of the traditional, physics-based guidance. Now the AI-EURO is back, flashing a storm signal for a southern low tracking east across the country NEXT WEEKEND. What the model is showing: Phasing of the northern & southern jet streams over the TN Valley as a northern shortwave diving in and infusing southern energy. This creates a surface low tracking along the arctic boundary in place later this week. We consider this track a classic “Southern Slider” setup with plenty of cold air in place to the north with moisture binding against the gradient. What could go wrong? 1. Too much cold air → storm suppressed south (big snow for the Deep South) 2. No phasing → weak, disorganized system 3. The model is… full of it (and we crowned it too early) Why this could be legit: 1.MJO heading into Phase 8 — historically favorable for eastern U.S. storms 2.Guidance is very bullish on cold air, usually tied to strong thermal gradients 3. Blocking signals showing up on both the West Coast and western Atlantic

Yeahh I agree..i don't think with the cold dome that ur gonna see a lot in the way of mixing

I'm cautiously optimistic.. very cautious...only cause we've been burned before !

Mine too. Gotta love Clint!!!

Yeah the second Feb 2010 storm was a biggie too!! And It came right after the bliz of Feb 5th 2010... Man that week was the best winter week I ever had!!

Would be 26 years to the date of the Jan 25th 2000 storm

When bob chill comes around shit just got real!

We're overdue !

Yes it was i got 17.5 Inches at my house in Baltimore county MD

This is me when l look at the GFS model

I'm hoping the good Dr.King can use some of his divine influence tomorrow on the day we celebrate his birthday! and help the Gfs see the same thing the AI models are seeing!!

It's very nice to see the ensembles putting out high numbers like that!

So... 18zAI gfs,18z AI euro, and 18zEuro all show a big hit, and 18z GFS shows out to sea... Doesnt take a genius to figure out which way to lean

Jesus lol

Makes me wonder if the AI models are doing so much better then the op models like everyone says.., how long will they even keep using the op models .

Me too io welcome all the AI overlords

Both AI GFS and AI Euro look almost identical

Nah can stand the patriots

I didn't know the GFS /gets had a bias of overdoing the cold dome causing surpression a week out. Thanks bro .. Learn something new every day

I'd trust the bundle of misery known as my ex wife before I'd trust a GFS model 5+ days out

.25 inches of snow here and light snow falling 29.7 F 25F dewpoint

Fuck those iguanas I want a snowstorm

Exactly!! This far out I go with ensembles more than the op. The ops horrible this far out

Way too early to say it's going to hit there. Still 8 days out .