psuhoffman

Baltimore is a dump. Like they deserve snow Don't be a jerk

Keep seeing reports just south of me of "dumping" but been mostly just light here with maybe borderline moderate at times.

I should operate a b&b for snow weenies

sure...looking at the current guidance its gonna be rocking

Will the barometric pressure in Pittsburgh predict the glacier flow?

You want to take the overflow for my glacier tours business next week?

It’s close NW of 95. You can see the column trying to cool but the storm isn’t quite amplified to pull it off like the NAM did.

yea 30/23 and pouring misty groupely snow here.

31/20 awaiting...

My deck is big enough to surround half my pool.

Obviously we've been too soft. Time to tell old man winter who is boss!

Both the GEFS and EPS really like the wave later next week.

Yea but the main problem with December IMO was it was December. The surface low took a perfect track but there was a ton of mid level warmth that blasted well NW. I would take my chances on a similar setup in February.

some combo of a little slower with the departing TPV to our northeast...a little less phasing of the NS/SS to our west, the trough out west to shift east slightly

Big enough to hold up about a dozen people. The wood is very firm and sturdy!

@H2O I was worried about the second wave trending south but not because of the euro. I was totally wrong about wave 1. I thought that was simply going to be a weak POS that didn't do much anywhere. I was totally focused on wave 2 which I was worried would trend south given the cold press we were seeing. It did, a little more then even I thought, enough to screw DC. The first wave amping up helped cause that by pressing the cold boundary even further south behind it. WRT the euro, I post analysis of every run, doesn't mean I agree with it. I posted the trend map because Ji was saying it wasn't that bad...I was trying to point out if you look at the trend over multiple runs it was. I do truly feel bad that this is screwing over the same places that have been getting the short end all winter. I really do. I would love to share the wealth but I have no control over it. It is a lot more fun when we are all posting deck pics!

Do you measure with the waves or between them?

Euro took a very positive step for the storm next week. A couple more shifts like that is all we need.

Euro baby step for the weekend. Wave more amped and juiced but the high is stronger and cold pressing a bit more also.

On the euro but I kinda thought it was off it’s rocker from the beginning. I think the gfs and NAM was always indicating problems with the first wave. But I thought the second would get you as the cold pressed. Ended up pressing too much and squashed it.

Your snow was supposed to come mostly from the 2nd wave which got suppressed too far south.

Hopefully Baltimore breaks it’s jinx with this one

Or a really wild 40th birthday party

I was curious why you think this wave will key on the NS SW track v the SS? All season it seems to be a long range error to phase the streams in the midwest and in reality the SS ends up riding out ahead of the NS along the coastal boundary.

On the one hand the op GFS does drop 11" of snow on DC through the run. I mean getting median snowfall in a 2 week period isnt a bad run. On the other hand it does it by fringe after fringe after fringe with not a single flush hit and drops 40" not far to the NW so that part sucks. But you adjust that just a smidge SE and...